Play Q & A with handicapper Kelly Stewart, who will answer selected questions from Las Vegas Review-Journal readers. Email her at Askkelly@reviewjournal.com.
Q: How much of a chance do you give Texas Christian to upset Kansas State on Saturday?
- Skip, Wichita, Kan.
A: At the risk of sounding biased, no chance. Kansas State is a solid 7-point favorite, and the line is 7½ at some spots. The Horned Frogs are 6-3 with the easiest part of their schedule behind them. They impressed me with the 2-point conversion play to beat West Virginia in two overtimes last week, but that's about it.
It looks like quarterback Collin Klein will be playing, so I see the K-State offense dismantling the TCU defense, just as Klein did to Oklahoma and Texas Tech. I do think Wildcats coach Bill Snyder might take it easy on an old coaching friend, Gary Patterson, on his home turf, but that just means K-State won't blow the lid off the Frogs. I could be wrong, though, because Snyder knows his team is chasing Alabama and Oregon and still needs those style points for the polls.
Q: I have noticed lines often are posted at various sports books with vigorish of minus-115 or higher, instead of the customary minus-110 to win $100. What is your take on why this is happening, and do you always wager on a side you really like even if the vig is minus -120?
- Robert, Las Vegas
A: It appears that instead of moving the line, say from 3 to 3½, the bookmakers increase the juice on the bet once they are heavy on hits at minus-110. If I like the bet, I don't mind laying another $5 to $10 per $100 I wager, but it always does make me give it a second look.
Q: You wrote last week that you were "not impressed" by Texas A&M. Perhaps you feel a little differently now?
- John, College Station, Texas
A: I received a lot of comments about my Texas A&M-Mississippi State analysis last week. I was on the home 'dog, and the Aggies won a 38-13 blowout.
First, I in no way intended to offend fans, but I'd like to back myself up by first revisiting the Aggies' schedule. Florida and LSU were notable losses they probably could have won. I never discredited those games, but let's go back to my Southeastern Conference bottom-feeder comment. Arkansas and Auburn are most definitely at the bottom of the SEC, and Mississippi is close.
I'm not bashing on A&M so much as its weak SEC West schedule. That being said, I have no doubt Johnny Manziel is an awesome freshman quarterback. The real test comes Saturday at Alabama, and I'll be taking the Aggies and the 14 points.
Kelly Stewart of Hottiehandicappers.com can be reached at Askkelly@reviewjournal.com. Follow her on Twitter: @kellyinvegas.