87°F
weather icon Partly Cloudy

Campaign 2018: Oddsmakers say Nevada’s governor race will stay tight

With less than three weeks until the final ballots are cast in the Silver State, has the race for governor between Democrat Steve Sisolak and Republican Adam Laxalt started tipping one way or the other?

Of course not. For the better part of a year now, most political observers have rated the race to replace term-limited Gov. Brian Sandoval as a true toss-up.

On Wednesday, FiveThirtyEight released its Governors Forecast prediction model for all 36 gubernatorial seats up for grabs this year.

Just three — in Nevada, Ohio and Georgia — were listed as toss-up elections.

FiveThirtyEight’s model does give Laxalt a slight edge, predicting that the attorney general has a 4-in-7 chance of winning.

And when it comes to betting odds (because political betting is allowed outside the U.S.), the two are even closer.

BetDSI, a Costa Rica-based online sportsbook, gave Sisolak and Laxalt the same minus-130 odds of winning.

Details on Obama, Biden events

The Nevada State Democratic Party provided details about the upcoming rallies with former President Barack Obama and former Vice President Joe Biden.

Obama’s event, meant to encourage turnout during early voting, starts at noon on Monday at UNLV’s Cox Pavilion. Tickets are required, but free. For a list of sites where tickets are available, visit votenvdems.com/obama.

Biden’s event is from 7:30 to 10:30 a.m. Saturday at Culinary Workers Union Local 226, 1630 S. Commerce St. To RSVP, go to votenvdems.com/risenvote-rally.

GOP group’s lawsuit tossed

A judge has dismissed a Republican Attorneys General Association lawsuit aimed at compelling Las Vegas Police to turn over body camera footage that involved Democratic attorney general candidate Aaron Ford.

RAGA filed the lawsuit last month, claiming that police refused to release records and related body camera footage related to an incident on Nov. 13, 2017, that involved children. A RAGA spokesman said in September that the group had received a tip that Ford, the state Senate majority leader, had used “that position of authority to influence an outcome with law enforcement.”

According to court minutes in the case made public Wednesday, Clark County District Judge Kerry Earley said she had reviewed the footage and concluded that all portions of it, including the parts involving Ford, were “directly related to the investigation of a juvenile involved incident.”

Because everything dealt specifically with juveniles, Earley said, those records could not be released.

RAGA spokesman Zack Roday said that the “issue here remains — did Aaron Ford used his position as Senator to intimidate police officers into favorable treatment? RAGA hopes Ford will join us in calling for transparency, for the release of the body camera footage so voters know the truth before they vote.”

In a statement, Ford said the lawsuit showed that his Republican opponent, Wes Duncan, is “willing to do whatever it takes to win an election, regardless of how callous and shameful it may be.”

“There is nothing more shameful than targeting children for political purposes. The Republican Attorneys General Association specifically named a minor child in multiple records requests, and they cited an upcoming election as their need for records,” Ford said. “I’m thankful to the Las Vegas Metro Police Department for standing up for the privacy of all the children involved in this incident, and I’m thankful to Judge Earley for her ruling today upholding the clear intent of the law protecting the rights of children.”

Duncan’s campaign declined to comment.

Democrats vow to support immigrant families

A slate of Democratic candidates — joined by Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto — promised to fight for immigrant families during a forum hosted by Culinary Union 226 on Wednesday.

The union, which represents 57,000 workers in Las Vegas and Reno, is one of the state’s largest immigrant organizations. Members speak more than 40 languages and come from 173 countries. Wednesday’s forum included questions posed to candidates by union members working legally under the government’s Temporary Protected Status program, commonly called TPS. The Trump administration is taking steps to curb or eliminate TPS for most countries, citing their improved conditions.

U.S. Rep. Jacky Rosen, who is attempting to unseat Sen. Dean Heller; U.S. Rep. Dina Titus, who is running for reelection in the 1st Congressional District; Steven Horsford, a candidate for the 4th Congressional District; and 3rd Congressional District candidate Susie Lee all pledged to help protect the immigrants and their families if elected.

“Now, the only thing we know, we’re going to get solutions if we have a Congress make that solution,” said Culinary Union Secretary-Treasurer Geoconda Arguello-Kline. “But that’s why we have to vote, and we have to be sure we get people who need to be elected be there.”

News and Notes

■ Early voting begins Saturday. In the last two midterm elections in Nevada, fewer than 50 percent of the total ballots cast came during early voting. Contrast that with the last two presidential election years, 2012 and 2016, where early voting turnout made up over 60 percent of the final ballot tallies. The early voting period ends on Nov. 2. Anyone who doesn’t cast a ballot by then will have to wait until Election Day, Nov. 6.

■ American First Action, a Super PAC dedicated to electing candidates who support President Donald Trump’s agenda, unveiled a carnival-themed TV labeling and 3rd Congressional District candidate Susie Lee a “hypocrite.” The group has invested $20 million in House races across the country, including $1.5 million in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District.

Contact Capital Bureau Chief Colton Lochhead at clochhead@reviewjournal.com or 775-461-3820. Follow @ColtonLochhead on Twitter. Contact Ramona Giwargis at rgiwargis@reviewjournal.com or 702-380-4538. Follow @RamonaGiwargis on Twitter.

Review-Journal reporter Meghin Delaney contributed to this report.

Don't miss the big stories. Like us on Facebook.
Politics Videos
The Right Take: Biden's Racially Questionable Comments
Joe Biden has uttered racially charged statements for years. Now that he’s the frontrunner for the Democrat presidential nomination, he may finally face prolonged scrutiny for them.
Christopher Rufo Discusses Homelessness In The USA - VIDEO
Christopher Rufo discusses homelessness in the United States and how politicians can work to improve conditions for those with drug addictions.
Clark County 2019 Election Results - Video
The 2019 Elections wrap up in Clark County including an upset in the Boulder City Mayor race.
Olivia Diaz talks about her win in Ward 3 - VIDEO
Las Vegas City Councilwoman-elect Olivia Diaz talks about her election win in Ward 3 and what lies ahead for her.
Greene discusses Read by 3 and Opportunity Scholarships - VIDEO
The Nevada Legislative Session is over and the results are mixed for Nevada students, according to Tom Greene, Senior regional legislative director, Excel in Ed in Action.
Bernie Sanders visits Las Vegas
Sen. Bernie Sanders made a stop at Roy W. Martin middle school on Thursday, during his campaign trail.
Kamala Harris campaigns in Las Vegas
Democratic Sen. Kamala Harris castigated President Donald Trump’s merit-based immigration plan, saying it was “short-sighted” and overlooked the cultural significance of family, during a campaign stop in Las Vegas. “We cannot allow people to start parsing and pointing fingers and creating hierarchies among immigrants,” Harris told Asian Pacific Islander leaders at a Chinatown restaurant, one of two appearances she made Thursday.
The Right Take New Education Funding Plan - VIDEO
On Monday, Senate Education Committee chair Mo Denis, D-Las Vegas, released a new education funding formula. For years, many Democrat politicians have criticized the current education funding formula, called the Nevada Plan. They claim it’s old and outdated. Their biggest beef is that it doesn’t allocate more money for students who are English Language Learners or live in poverty. The theory is that it’s harder to educate those students and so they need additional services, which costs additional money.
Kamala Harris campaigns in Nevada
California Senator Kamala Harris meets with One APIA Nevada, a nonprofit organization that advocates for policies empowering Asian Pacific Islander Nevadans. (Michael Quine/Las Vegas Review-Journal)
Ben Carson talks housing (Audio only)
Ben Carson discusses housing with the Review-Journal editorial board on Thursday. (Audio only)
Ben Carson visits the RJ (Full Audio Only)
Ben Carson discusses housing with the Review-Journal editorial board on Thursday. (Audio only)
Former Vice President Joe Biden campaigns in Nevada
After campaigning at the International Union of Painters and Allied Trades District Council 16 in Henderson, former Vice President Joe Biden spoke with the Review-Journal.
Student serenades Mayor Carolyn Goodman at swearing in
Students from the school she founded, The Meadows School, serenaded Las Vegas Mayor Carolyn Goodman during a swearing in ceremony for her third and final term. (K.M. Cannon/Las Vegas Review-Journal) @KMCannonPhoto
Al Gore Speaks At UNLV About Climate Change - Video
Former Vice President of the United States Al Gore talks to an audience at UNLV about the effects of Climate change and how to switch to renewable sources of energy.
Forum on Wages and Working People Highlights - VIDEO
Presidential candidates Elizabeth Warren, Beto O'Rourke, Kamala Harris, Amy Klobuchar, Julian Castro, and John Hickenlooper speak in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Nevada Politics Today Valerie Weber - VIDEO
Valerie Weber sits down with Victor Joecks to discuss her policies and why she is running for Ward 2 of the Las Vegas City Council.
Cory Booker speaks at UNLV
US Senator Cory Booker speaks at UNLV during a Young Democrats meet and greet on Thursday, April 18, 2019. (Mat Luschek / Review-Journal)
May-Brown describes why some with disabilities need the subminimum wage - VIDEO
Eliminating the subminimum wage will end training and work opportunities for some members of the disabled community. Instead of doing something productive, they would be relegated to adult day care. That’s according to Tracy May-Brown, Opportunity Village’s director of advocacy, board and government relations.
Commission’s decision will delay Red Rock Canyon development
The Clark County Commission Wednesday rejected a developer’s request to approve a preliminary plan for 3,000 homes overlooking Red Rock Canyon before a federal agency grants permission for a roadway leading to the site.
Clark County commissioner calls on landlords to bring properties up to code
Clark County Commissioner Tick Segerblom has called on landlords in older parts of the valley to bring their properties up to code and keep them well-maintained or face the prospect of inspections, fines and citations. (K.M. Cannon/Las Vegas Review-Journal) @KMCannonPhoto
Harry Reid speaks out against anti-Semitism
Unnerved by the rise in anti-Semitic hate speech and the general pervasiveness of bigotry, including in Nevada, former U.S. Sen. Harry Reid organized an educational forum at UNLV on Thursday as part of his call to unite people against it. (Shea Johnson/Las Vegas Review-Journal)
President Trump speaks to the Republican Jewish Coalition in Las Vegas
President Donald Trump spoke at the Republican Jewish Coalition’s National Leadership Meeting in Las Vegas and updated on Israeli relations. (Heidi Fang/Las Vegas Review-Journal)
Trump says border wall will have 'hundreds of miles' built by end of next year
President Donald Trump spoke at the Republican Jewish Coalition’s National Leadership Meeting in Las Vegas and discussed the progress of the border wall and the current relations there. (Heidi Fang/Las Vegas Review-Journal)
Protesters disrupt Trump's speech
Just as President Donald Trump started to make his opening remarks during his appearance at the Republican Jewish Coalition’s National Leadership Meeting, protesters disrupted his speech. (Heidi Fang/Las Vegas Review-Journal)
Roerink On The Problems With Taking Water From Eastern Nevada - Video
The Southern Nevada Water Authority wants to take billions of gallons of water that doesn’t exist from Eastern Nevada via a pipeline that would cost ratepayers $15 billion. Doing so would devastate the wildlife and people who live there. That’s according to Kyle Roerink, executive director of the Great Basin Water Network, which opposes the pipeline.
Las Vegas Election Night Wrap-Up
The Review-Journal's Politics and Government Editor, Steve Sebelius, wraps up election night. (Mat Luschek / Review-Journal)
Olivia Diaz Speaks To Ward 3 Supporters After Primary Election - Video
Olivia Diaz speaks to her supporters at a election party after results started coming in for the Ward 3 primaries.
Oscar Goodman Speaks On Behalf Of Mayor At Primary Win (edited)
Oscar Goodman spoke Tuesday night on behalf of his wife, Carolyn, who won the mayoral primary election. (Mat Luschek / Review-Journal)
Oscar Goodman Speaks On Behalf Of Mayor At Primary Win (Full)
Oscar Goodman spoke Tuesday night on behalf of his wife Carolyn, who won the mayoral primary election. (Mat Luschek / Review-Journal)
Gun Debate Shows Limits Of Government - Video
On Monday, the Assembly and Senate Judiciary Committees held a joint hearing on Assembly Bill 291. It would ban bump stocks and allow local governments to pass additional restrictions on firearms.
Lucy Flores speaks out about Biden incident
Former Nevada assemblywoman, Lucy Flores, expresses her feelings about an incident with former Vice President Joe Biden in 2014. (Michael Quine/Las Vegas Review-Journal) @Vegas88s
Harry Reid takes the stand in injury lawsuit
Former U.S. Sen. Harry Reid took the stand on Thursday in the product liability lawsuit brought against the makers of a resistance exercise band that Reid blames for blinding him in one eye.
Jurors hear opening statements in Reid personal injury trial
Opening statements were made on Tuesday in the product liability lawsuit brought by Harry Reid against against the makers of a resistance exercise band that Reid blames for blinding him in one eye.
Mayor Goodman delivers Meals on Wheels
Mayor Carolyn Goodman delivers Meals on Wheels to seniors on March 26, 2019.
THE LATEST
Nevada gets $3M in settlement for ITT students

Attorney General Aaron Ford announced his office has reached a settlement with Student CU Connect CUSO, a company that offered loans for students attending ITT Tech that Ford called abusive.