84°F
weather icon Clear

LETTER: Don’t believe latest presidential poll on Nevada

Your Tuesday editorial referenced polls by The New York Times, Sienna College and the Philadelphia Inquirer showing Donald Trump leading Joe Biden in Nevada by double digits. As someone who has taught statistics and research methods for many years, I have serious problems with the surveys.

First off, the sample size consisted of only 600 people, with 39 percent independent, 26 percent Republican and 25 percent Democrat. Six-hundred registered voters does not represent a valid sample when you consider that there are more than 1.9 million registered voters in Nevada. Are we to believe that a sample size this small represents the voting population in our state?

This poll fails the test of scientific credibility. A sample is supposed to represent the population from which it is drawn. Where were the sample voters located? There are counties that are solidly Republican (Nye), and those that are populated by a majority of Democrats (Clark). What about the demographics, such as age, race, ethnicity, sex, gender and social class? These factors have the potential to influence the outcome.

Despite the findings of this poll, the only one that matters is the one that happens at the ballot box. I suspect we will see a very different outcome in November.

Don't miss the big stories. Like us on Facebook.
THE LATEST
LETTER: The carbon-spewing Biden family

Climate change is an existential threat to mankind, animals and plants. Why doesn’t the Biden family lead the way?

LETTER: The Trump show trial

Remember, Martin Luther King, Mahatma Ghandi and Sir Thomas More — all innocent men — were also declared to be guilty.

LETTER: No conspiracy involving Hunter’s laptop

The R-J should acknowledge that Mr. Trump’s lies, frauds, defamations, criminal indictments and convictions are exponentially worse than Hunter’s laptop being evidence or any of the other alleged Biden missteps.

LETTER: Trump tries to win Nevada

Mr. Trump advocating for tax-free tip income is definitely one approach to winning Nevada. But my tip to Mr. Trump is to pick Marco Rubio and show the diversity of the GOP.

LETTER: Red Rock development ‘compromise’ is depressing

Red Rock Canyon is a fragile natural wonder. To claim that 3,500 homes and the traffic that goes with them, and changing the nature of the watershed, will not negatively impact the area is absurd.

LETTER: Russian warships off the Florida coast

It’s strange that the mainstream media are treating Russian combat ships miles off the Florida coast as nothing to see here.