The speed of the Kansas City Chiefs meets the power of the Tennessee Titans with a berth in the Super Bowl on the line.
The No. 2 seed Chiefs host the No. 6 Titans in the AFC Championship Game at 12:05 p.m. Sunday PST. Kansas City is a 7-point favorite. The total is 51½.
Quarterback Patrick Mahomes leads a Chiefs offense that erased a 24-0 deficit last week en route to a 51-31 divisional playoff victory over the Houston Texans.
The Titans seek a third straight upset behind workhorse running back Derrick Henry. Tennessee knocked off New England 20-13 in the wild-card round before stunning the top-seeded Ravens 28-12 last week in Baltimore.
Refresh this blog throughout the game to track player props, movement on the live betting line, halftime bets and much more.
3:22 p.m.: That’s all, folks. Please join us on the Packers-49ers blog, which is live on the site now.
3:11 p.m.: Some final prop grades: Chiefs win by 9 to 12 points (+450). Tannehill over 17½ completions (21). Tannehill under 222½ passing yards (209). Tannehill over 1½ TD passes (2, +110 odds). Tannehill will not throw an interception (+110). Tannehill under 15½ rushing yards (11). Henry under 120½ rushing yards (69).
Mahomes under 24½ completions (23). Mahomes under 310½ passing yards (294). Mahomes will not throw an interception (-150). Williams under 56½ rushing yards (45). Hill under 72½ receiving yards (67). Travis Kelce under 80½ receiving yards (30). Kelce will not score a TD (+115).
3:09 p.m.: FINAL: Kansas City Chiefs 35, Tennessee Titans 24. Chiefs cover as 7-point favorites and -340 on the money line. Total goes over 51½.
3:07 p.m.: Chiefs backers survive. Tannehill is sacked on fourth down, and Kansas City can kneel it out.
3:02 p.m.: Two-minute warning. Spread bettors sweating.
2:59 p.m.: The backdoor is open. Chiefs punt, and Titans have the ball with 2:08 left. Spread is in doubt with Chiefs up 35-24.
2:49 p.m.: The live money line is off the board, but William Hill is essentially offering a prop on whether the Titans will score again: Chiefs -10½ (-280), Titans +10½ (+225).
2:47 p.m.: Anthony Firkser catches a 22-yard TD pass from Ryan Tannehill to cut the Chiefs lead to 35-24 with 4:18 to go. All over bettors can relax, and Chiefs bettors still have to sweat a bit.
2:46 p.m.: Titans convert a fake punt and are threatening to score to push the total over for everyone.
2:39 p.m.: Props that just cashed: Longest TD of the game over 44½ yards. Largest lead of the game over 14½ (over -130 odds). Mahomes over 2½ TD passes (+120 odds).
2:38 p.m.: Killshot. Sammy Watkins catches a 60-yard TD pass on third-and-6 to send the Chiefs into the Super Bowl, up 35-17 with 7:33 to go, and also cashing a bevy of props.
2:31 p.m.: Chiefs need another TD to all but lock up the win against the -7 spread. Titans backers need a stop and a TD to get in the backdoor. Over bettors need one more TD from anyone. Under bettors who got the best of the number at 52½ or bettor can withstand a score. Over bettors who got the worst of the number need some help.
2:29 p.m.: Chiefs force a punt, and we’ve just about moved into the pure gambling portion of the game, as the winner is all but decided. Chiefs -3,000 on the live line (Titans 12-1 to come back), spread -11½ (+110), total 54½ (over -125).
2:26 p.m.: Williams will score a TD cashes at -170. A team will score three straight times cashes at -240.
2:21 p.m.: Damien Williams gets in from 3 yards out, and the Chiefs are closing in on a Super Bowl berth. Chiefs lead 28-17 with 14:50 left in the fourth quarter. Chiefs now -1,600 on the live line (have to bet $1,600 to win $100), Titans +850 to come back, spread -10½ (-145), total 58½ (under -125).
2:18 p.m.: End of the third quarter: Chiefs 21, Titans 17, but Kansas City has first-and-goal, poised to take a two-score lead. Chiefs now -1,400 on the live line (Titans +800), spread -10½ (-125), total 57½.
2:07 p.m.: Chiefs make a stop, helped by a holding penalty, and get the ball back with 6:58 left in the third quarter, leading 21-17. Chiefs -600 on the live line (Titans +420), spread -7½, total 58½ (under -125).
1:58 p.m.: Titans force a punt and get the ball back at their 20 with 11:01 left in the third quarter. Chiefs -400 on the live line (Titans +300), spread -6½, total 61½.
1:52 p.m.: As they review what appears to be a first-down catch, grading some props: Henry will score a TD (-200). Mahomes over 24½ rushing yards. Hill will score a TD (+120).
1:48 p.m.: Chiefs receive the second-half kickoff and have a chance to take control here.
1:46 p.m.: There will be a score in the final two minutes of the first half cashed at -340.
1:35 p.m.: Second-half line: Chiefs -4, total 27.
1:33 p.m.: HALFTIME: Kansas City Chiefs 21, Tennessee Titans 17. First-half winners: Titans +4½, total over 24½, Chiefs money line -275. Some might have pushed the first-half spread on 4.
1:28 p.m.: WOW. Mahomes with a highlight reel scramble for a 27-yard TD with 11 seconds left before halftime, and the Chiefs lead for the first time of the day, 21-17. A double-digit first-half deficit erased before halftime for the second week in a row. Chiefs leap to -600 on the live line (Titans +420 to come back), spread -7½, total 65½.
1:18 p.m.: Chiefs get their first stop and will get the ball back after the two-minute warning with a chance to tie or take the lead. Chiefs -250 on the live line (Titans +200), -4½ spread, 61½ total (under -125).
1:12 p.m.: Mahomes rips a 20-yard TD pass to Hill, and the Chiefs are again within three at 17-14 with 4:03 left in the second quarter. Chiefs -230 on the live line (Titans +185), spread -3½, total 62½.
1:05 p.m.: The Titans were favored briefly on the William Hill live line at -125, but it quickly moved back to Chiefs -125. Total 58½.
1:04 p.m.: Offensive lineman Dennis Kelly catches a 1-yard TD pass from Tannehill on a tackle eligible play, and the Titans extend the lead to 17-7 with 6:39 left in the second quarter.
1:02 p.m.: This is the site of backup QB Marcus Mariota’s finest moment as a pro: the Titans’ comeback playoff win over the Chiefs two years ago.
1 p.m.: Killer pass interference penalty to give the Titans a first down.
12:49 p.m.: End of the first quarter: Titans 10, Chiefs 7. First-quarter winners: Titans +1½, total over 10 (+100), Titans +180 on the money line.
12:45 p.m.: Tyreek Hill scoots in on an 8-yard shovel pass from Mahomes to cut the Titans lead to 10-7 with 46 seconds left in the first quarter. Chiefs surge to -250 on the live line (Titans +200), spread -4½, total 58½.
12:32 p.m.: Henry was 5-1 to score the first TD at Westgate, +550 at Circa.
12:30 p.m.: Derrick Henry scores on a direct snap from 4 yards out, and the Titans surge to a 10-0 lead with 5;52 left in the first quarter. Chiefs are still favored at -140 on the live line (Titans +110), spread -1½, total 55½.
12:26 p.m.: Chiefs down to -175 on the live line after the Titans’ first down.
12:22 p.m.: Looks like the interception will be overturned. Titans will have third-and-5.
12:18 p.m.: There will be a field goal in the first quarter cashed at +140.
12:16 p.m.: Chiefs go three-and-out. Titans have the ball at their 42. Chiefs -230 on the live line (Titans +185), spread -4½, total 51½.
12:14 p.m.: First score of the game will not be a touchdown cashes at +170.
12:10 p.m.: Chiefs avoid a disastrous start and hold Titans to a 30-yard Greg Joseph field goal after a long drive. Tennessee leads 3-0 with 11:29 to go in the first quarter. Chiefs now -280 on the live line (Titans +225), -6½ spread, total 52½.
12:05 p.m.: And away we go. Titans receive. Line closes Chiefs -7, total 51½. Money line Chiefs -340/Titans +280.
12:03 p.m.: These are the posted Super Bowl lines at the Westgate before today’s games begin. Will be interesting to see how today’s performances/public perception changes the actual line after the games: Chiefs -1 (total 51) against the 49ers; Chiefs -4½ (53½) against the Packers; 49ers -4½ (44½) against the Titans; Packers -1½ (44) against the Titans.
11:59 p.m.: Almost to game time. Chiefs are holding as 7-point favorites at most books, though some have Kansas City juiced to -120. Total is 51½ with a few 51s out there.