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NFL BAD BEATS BLOG: Upsets galore on big day for underdogs

Updated October 16, 2022 - 9:40 pm

Welcome to Week 6 of the NFL season.

Top matchups include the Baltimore Ravens at the New York Giants, the Buffalo Bills at the Kansas City Chiefs in a possible AFC championship game preview and the undefeated Philadelphia Eagles hosting the Dallas Cowboys in the Sunday night game. The Raiders have a bye.

Refresh this blog throughout the games to track bad beats, movement on the live betting line, halftime bets and more.

UPDATES

Betting results for every game — full game, first half and second half — are listed at the bottom of this story, along with some key boxscore stats.

8:35 p.m.: That’s it for Sunday’s action. Underdogs went 6-6 against the spread, with the Steelers (+375), Patriots (+130), Jets (+320), Giants (+210), Falcons (+160) and Seahawks (+115) winning outright.

Totals were 8-4 to the unders.

Thanks for reading.

8:23 p.m.: FINAL: Eagles 26, Cowboys 17. Jalen Hurts tossed two touchdowns, and the Eagles forced three turnovers to cover as 7-point favorites and stay undefeated. The Cowboys missed a 59-yard field goal late that would have enabled Dallas to cover. The game slipped over the total of 42½.

8:18 p.m.: Brett Maher misses a 59-yard field goal for the Cowboys and the cover. The Eagles will take over near midfield with 1:08 remaining leading 26-17.

8:01 p.m.: Cooper Rush floats a wounded duck that is intercepted by C.J. Gardner-Johnson. The Eagles lead 26-17 with just over five minutes remaining.

7:53 p.m.: Impressive response from the Eagles. Jalen Hurts hits DeVonta Smith open in the end zone and the Eagles are ahead 26-17 with 7:02 left to play after the two-point conversion failed. Over bettors rejoice. The Eagles are -1600 on the live line (Cowboys +850), total 49½.

7:41 p.m.: Jake Ferguson caps a 93-yard drive with his first career touchdown reception. He’s Barry Alvarez’s grandson. The Cowboys trail the Eagles 20-17 early in the fourth quarter. The Eagles are -260 on the live line (Cowboys +225), total 47½.

7:36 p.m.: The Eagles lead 20-10, but the Cowboys are driving entering the fourth quarter. The Eagles are -450 on the live line (Cowboys +340), total 44½.

7:26 p.m.: Lane Johnson must be the MVP because the Eagles offense has gone to crud without the lineman, who is out with a concussion.

7:15 p.m.: Ezekiel Elliott lumbers into the end zone to cap an impressive drive for the Cowboys coming out of the locker room. Eagles 20, Cowboys 10 early in the third quarter. The Eagles are -1300 on the live line (Cowboys +750), total 46½.

6:54 p.m.: Second-half line: Eagles -3, total 20.

6:49 p.m.: HALFTIME: Eagles 20, Cowboys 3. First-half winners: Eagles -3½, over 20½. The Eagles forced two turnovers and scored all their points in the second quarter to cover easily. The Cowboys had a late touchdown overturned by video review but kicked a field goal with 29 seconds left to send the total over.

6:35 p.m.: The Eagles settle for a field goal and lead the Cowboys 20-0 with 1:47 left until halftime. The Eagles are -5000 on the live line (Cowboys +1600), total 42½. Any takers?

6:27 p.m.: Pocket change.

6:16 p.m.: The Cowboys hold after Mike McCarthy’s gamble and allow a field goal. It’s 17-0 Eagles with 7:53 left until halftime. The Eagles are -2500 on the live line (Cowboys +1100), total 43½.

6:11 p.m.: Mike McCarthy showing a lot of faith in Cooper Rush on fourth down, but maybe that wasn’t the best call.

6:05 p.m.: A.J. Brown turns the short pass from Jalen Hurts into a touchdown and the Eagles are up 14-0 over the Cowboys with 10:40 left in the second quarter. The Eagles are -2000 on the live line (Cowboys +1000), total 41½.

5:58 p.m.: Great start to the second quarter for the Eagles once again. Tip drill gets intercepted and Philadelphia is starting to take control.

5:54 p.m.: Miles Sanders plows into the end zone on the first play of the second quarter and the Eagles lead the Cowboys 7-0. The Eagles are -600 on the live line (Cowboys +420), total 39½.

5:51 p.m.: END OF THE FIRST QUARTER. Eagles 0, Cowboys 0. Zzzzzzzz. The Eagles are -450 on the live line (Cowboys +340), total 37½.

5:38 p.m.: The Cowboys and Eagles are trading punts midway through the first quarter. The Eagles are -320 on the live line (Cowboys +250), total 38½.

4:51 p.m.: — Cowboys (+240) at Eagles (-7, 43, -280), 5:20 p.m.

4:34 p.m.: FINAL: Bills 24, Chiefs 20. Josh Allen threw three touchdowns, including the go-ahead score to Dawson Knox with 1:04 remaining, and the Bills covered as 2½-point favorites. Patrick Mahomes was intercepted late as the game stayed under the total of 54½.

4:25 p.m.: Dawson Knox snags the go-ahead touchdown with 1:04 remaining and the Bills have a 24-20 lead over the Chiefs and the cover. What a game. The Bills are -300 on the live line (Chiefs +240).

4:14 p.m.: FINAL: Seahawks 19, Cardinals 9. Kenneth Walker III ran for 97 yards and a fourth-quarter touchdown, and the Seahawks earned the upset win as 2½-point home underdogs. The game stayed under the total of 50½.

4:03 p.m.: FINAL: Rams 24, Panthers 10. Darrell Henderson Jr. scored with 8:15 remaining, and the Rams picked off Panthers backup quarterback Jacob Eason in the end zone with 2:20 left in the fourth quarter to cover as 9½-point favorites. The game stayed under the total of 41.

4:01 p.m.: Harrison Butker knocks it through and the Chiefs lead the Bills 20-17 with 9:49 left in the fourth quarter. The Chiefs are -150 on the live line (Bills +120), total 47½.

3:53 p.m.: The Rams intercept Jacob Eason in the end zone and maintain a 24-10 lead late in the fourth quarter. Big for the cover.

3:40 p.m.: Patrick Mahomes fires a strike to Mecole Hardman, and it’s tied in Kansas City. Chiefs 17, Bills 17 with 2:44 left in the third quarter. Fasten your seatbelts. The Bills are -160 on the live line (Chiefs +130), total 51½.

3:34 p.m.: Darrell Henderson Jr. forces his way into the end zone and the Rams have broken it open against the Panthers. They lead 24-10 with 8:15 remaining and are now covering as 9½-point favorites.

3:30 p.m.: Stefon Diggs gets loose and hauls in the Josh Allen pass for a touchdown. The Bills lead the Chiefs 17-10 with 7:02 left in the third quarter. The Bills are -320 on the live line (Chiefs +250), total 47½.

3:28 p.m.: Kenneth Walker III barrels into the end zone and the Seahawks lead 19-9 over the Cardinals early in the fourth quarter. The Seahawks are -500 on the live line (Cardinals +375), total 40½.

3:24 p.m.: Harrison Butker pushes a 51-yard field-goal attempt wide. The Chiefs and Bills remain tied 10-10 early in the third quarter. The Bills are -170 on the live line (Chiefs +140), total 43½.

3:16 p.m.: Ben Skowronek runs 17 yards on the end around for a touchdown and the Rams lead the Panthers 17-10 with 11 seconds left in the third quarter. The Rams are -1300 on the live line (Panthers +750), total 36½.

3:08 p.m.: More field goals in Seattle. It’s 12-3 Seahawks leading the Cardinals with 4:11 left in the third quarter. The Seahawks are -220 on the live line (Cardinals +180), total 32½.

3:06 p.m.: Second-half line: Bills -2½, total 28.

3:02 p.m.: HALFTIME: Bills 10, Chiefs 10. First-half winners: Chiefs +1½, under 27. Josh Allen connected with Gabe Davis on a 34-yard touchdown pass with 16 seconds remaining in the second quarter for the Bills. But the Chiefs went 28 yards in three plays and got the cover when Harrison Butker booted a 62-yard field goal.

2:57 p.m.: What. A. Drive.

2:28 p.m.: Second-half line: Cardinals -2½, total 24.

2:27 p.m.: Second-half line: Rams -6, total 20.

2:25 p.m.: HALFTIME: Seahawks 9, Cardinals 3. First-half winners: Seahawks +½, under 24½. The teams combined for four field goals in an NFC West pillow fight.

2:23 p.m.: HALFTIME: Panthers 10, Rams 7. First-half winners: Panthers +6, under 20½. Donte Jackson had a 30-yard interception return for a touchdown with 1:58 left in the second quarter to cash the Panthers money line.

2:10 p.m.: Patrick Mahomes keeps the play alive and finds JuJu Smith-Schuster, who spins off three tacklers and sprints away for the touchdown. The Chiefs lead the Bills 7-3 with 11:31 left in the second quarter. The Chiefs are -125 on the live line (Bills -105), total 48.½

1:55 p.m.: Bills 0, Chiefs 0 at the end of the first quarter. Over bettors, how we feeling? The Bills are -200 on the live line (Chiefs +165), total 44½.

1:48 p.m.: Patrick Mahomes flings one into the end zone and it’s intercepted. The Bills and Chiefs remained tied 0-0. The Bills are -145 on the live line (Chiefs +115), total 44½.

1:45 p.m.: Still no touchdowns in the afternoon games.

1:33 p.m.: The Rams offense is sputtering, and they trail the Panthers 3-0 at the end of the first quarter. The Rams are -300 on the live line (Panthers +240), total 34½.

1:24 p.m.: FINAL: Patriots 38, Browns 15. Rhamondre Stevenson of Las Vegas ran for two scores, and the Patriots rolled as 2½-point underdogs. The game flew over the total of 43½ after being 10-6 at halftime.

1:11 p.m.: FINAL: Colts 34, Jaguars 27. Alec Pierce scored on a 32-yard reception with 17 seconds remaining in the fourth quarter to lift the Colts, who were 1½-point favorites. The game went over the total of 41.

FINAL: Vikings 24, Dolphins 16. Kirk Cousins threw two touchdowns and the Vikings covered as 3-point road favorites. The game stayed under the total of 45.

1:09 p.m.: FINAL: Steelers 20, Buccaneers 18. Chase Claypool caught a touchdown with 9:55 remaining, and the Steelers stopped a two-point conversion with 4:38 left to pull the upset as 9½-point underdogs. The game stayed under the total of 46½.

1:06 p.m.: FINAL: Jets 27, Packers 10. The Packers looked sluggish after playing in London a week ago, and the Jets dominated on special teams to win outright as 8-point favorites. The game stayed under the total of 44½.

1:04 p.m.: FINAL: Giants 24, Ravens 20. The Giants intercepted Lamar Jackson late, and Saquon Barkley scored with 1:43 left in the fourth quarter to secure the outright win as 5½-point underdogs. The Giants had the ball inside the 5-yard line late but took a knee and the game stayed under the total of 45½.

12:59 p.m.: FINAL: Bengals 30, Saints 26. Ja’Marr Chase scored the go-ahead touchdown on a 60-yard pass from Joe Burrow with 1:57 left, and the Bengals covered as 3-point favorites. The game went over the total of 43.

12:52 p.m.: FINAL: Falcons 28, 49ers 14. Marcus Mariota threw for two touchdowns and ran for another to help the Falcons earn the outright win as 3½-point underdogs. Atlanta remained unbeaten against the spread. The game stayed under the total of 45½.

12:28 p.m.: Jelani Woods grabs a 10-yard touchdown from Matt Ryan and the Colts have come all the way back to lead 26-21 with 12:47 left in the fourth quarter. The Colts are -260 on the live line (Jaguars +210), total 56½.

12:20 p.m.: “Green Bay has a pulse.” Aaron Rodgers connects with Allen Lazard for a touchdown and the Jets now lead 17-10 with 2:35 left in the third quarter. The Jets are -200 on the live line (Packers +165), total 40½.

12:09 p.m.: The Jets blocked their second kick of the day and return this one for a touchdown. They lead the Packers 17-3 with 5:43 left in the third quarter. The Jets are -550 on the live line (Packers +400), total 35½.

12:04 p.m.: Ja’Marr Chase grabs a 15-yard touchdown reception from Joe Burrow, and the Bengals now trail the Saints 23-21 with 3:30 left in the third quarter. The over (43) is in.

12:00 p.m.: Braxton Berrios scoots in from 20 yards away, and the Jets have a 10-3 lead over the Packers midway through the third quarter. The Jets are -140 on the live line (Packers +110), total 30½.

11:50 a.m.: Bailey Zappe finds Tyquan Thornton for a short touchdown and the Patriots are up 17-6 over the Browns. The Patriots are -400 on the live line (Browns +300), total 42½.

11:39 a.m.: Second-half line: Ravens -1½, total 22½.

11:38 a.m.: Second-half line: Packers -3½, total 20½.

11:37 a.m.: Second-half line: Browns -½, total 21.

11:36 a.m.: Second-half line: Jaguars Pick, total 20.

11:34 a.m.: Second-half line: Bengals -3, total 21.

11:33 a.m.: HALFTIME: Jaguars 14, Colts 13. First-half winners: Jaguars +½, over 20½.

HALFTIME: Patriots 10, Browns 6. First-half winners: Patriots +1, under 20½.

HALFTIME: Ravens 10, Giants 7. First-half winners: Giants +3½, under 22.

HALFTIME: Saints 20, Bengals 14. First-half winners: Saints +1½, over 21.

11:32 a.m.: HALFTIME: Jets 3, Packers 3. First-half winners: Jets +4½, under 22½. The Packers stink.

11:31 a.m.: Second-half line: Dolphins -½, total 21.

11:29 a.m.: HALFTIME: Vikings 10, Dolphins 3. First-half winners: Vikings -2½, under 22½. Irv Smith Jr. caught a 1-yard touchdown pass from Kirk Cousins with 2:32 left in the second quarter for the Vikings cover.

11:27 a.m.: Second-half line: Buccaneers -5, total 21½.

11:25 a.m.: HALFTIME: Steelers 10, Buccaneers 9. First-half winners: Steelers +6, under 23½.

11:23 a.m.: Second-half line: 49ers -4, total 23½.

11:21 a.m.: HALFTIME: Falcons 21, 49ers 14. First-half winners: Falcons +2½, over 22½. Marcus Mariota scored on a 3-yard keeper with 57 seconds left in the second quarter for the money-line win.

11:07 a.m.: The Packers look like Ashwaubenon High School in those uniforms and they’re playing like them, too. The Packers are -180 on the live line (Jets +150), total 31½.

11:04 a.m.: All tied up in the Meadowlands after Wan’Dale Robinson hauls in the short touchdown pass from Daniel Jones. Giants 7, Ravens 7 with 3:31 left in the second quarter. The Ravens are -190 on the live line (Giants +155), total 39½.

10:57 a.m.: Brandon Aiyuk scores his second touchdown and the 49ers erased a 14-point deficit and are tied with the Falcons midway through the second quarter. The 49ers are -150 on the live line (Falcons +120), total 57½.

10:49 a.m.: The Ravens break the seal against the Giants with former Raiders running back Kenyan Drake breaking free for a 30-yard touchdown run with 9:26 left in the second quarter. The Ravens are -380 on the live line (Giants +290), total 36½.

10:46 a.m.: The Packers can’t get out of their own way on offense and are somehow -280 on the live line. Jets are +225 and sure seem like a live ‘dog at this point. The total is 33½, LOL.

10:33 a.m.: The Falcons are wearing their Dirty Birds unis and lead the 49ers 14-0 after a fumble return for a touchdown. After closing as +3½, the Falcons are -250 on the live line (49ers +200), total 50½.

10:28 a.m.: Make that three games are 0-0. The Jaguars got a 1-yard rushing touchdown from quarterback Trevor Lawrence and lead the Colts 7-0 late in the first quarter. The Jaguars are -200 on the live line (Colts +165), total 40½.

10:26 a.m.: Some of these first quarters are flying by. Four of the eight games are tied 0-0.

10:11 a.m.: The Saints are the first team on the board in the morning. Tre’Quan Smith hauled in the 18-yard touchdown pass from Andy Dalton. The Saints are -150 on the live line (Bengals +120), total 46½.

10:02 a.m.: The Packers closed -8.

9:45 a.m.: The total in the Buccaneers-Steelers game keeps climbing. It’s up to 47 now. Other movement:

— Bengals-Saints total from 42½ to 43

— Patriots-Browns total from 43 to 43½

— Jets-Packers total from 45 to 44½

— 49ers from -4 to -3½

9:34 a.m.: The public likes the Bengals, Jaguars and Patriots at FanDuel Sportsbook.

9:28 a.m.: STN Sports outlook: Betting Trends

9:25 a.m.: From @CaesarsSports, a bettor from Arizona made two $110,000 bets for today:

Panthers +10 (-110)

Vikings-Dolphins U46 (-110)

9:15 a.m.: Insights from BetMGM for today’s NFL games:

Most bet games (tickets)

– 49ers-Falcons

– Vikings-Dolphins

– Panthers-Rams

Most bet teams (tickets)

– Panthers +10

– Vikings -3

– 49ers -4½

Most bet teams (handle)

– Panthers +10

– Dolphins +3

– Vikings -3

8:47 a.m.: Notable line movement this morning:

Buccaneers-Steelers total from 46 to 46½

Dolphins from +140 to +150 ML

8:45 a.m.: Here is this morning’s schedule of games:

— Buccaneers (-9½, 46½, -450) at Steelers (+375), 10 a.m.

— Bengals (-3, 42½, -165) at Saints (+145), 10 a.m.

— Jaguars (+105) at Colts (-1½, 41, -125), 10 a.m.

— Patriots (+130) at Browns (-2½, 43, -150), 10 a.m.

— Jets (+300) at Packers (-7½, 45, -360), 10 a.m.

— Ravens (-5½, 45½, -250) at Giants (+210), 10 a.m.

— Vikings (-3, 45, -170) at Dolphins (+150), 10 a.m.

— 49ers (-4, 45½, -200) at Falcons (+175), 10 a.m.

TODAY’S SCHEDULE

COMPLETED

— Steelers 20, Buccaneers 18 (at Pittsburgh)

Full-game winners: Steelers +9½, under 46½, Steelers +375 ML

First-half winners: Steelers +6, under 23½ (Steelers 10-9)

Second-half winners: Steelers +5, under 21½ (Steelers 10-9)

Yards per play: Buccaneers 4.5, Steelers 4.4 (Buccaneeers lead 304-270 in total yards)

Turnovers: Even (0-0)

Biggest lead: Buccaneers never led; Steelers 20-12

— Bengals 30, Saints 26 (at New Orleans)

Full-game winners: Bengals -3, over 43, Bengals -165 ML

First-half winners: Saints +1½, over 21 (Saints 20-14)

Second-half winners: Bengals -3, over 21 (Bengals 16-6)

Yards per play: Bengals 6.4, Saints 5.6 (Saints lead 399-348 in total yards)

Turnovers: Saints +1 (1-0)

Biggest lead: Bengals 30-26; Saints 17-7

— Colts 34, Jaguars 27 (at Indianapolis)

Full-game winners: Colts -1½, over 41, Colts -125 ML

First-half winners: Jaguars +½, over 20½ (Jaguars 14-13)

Second-half winners: Colts Pick, over 20 (Colts 21-13)

Yards per play: Jaguars 6.4, Colts 5.9 (Colts lead 434-377 in total yards)

Turnovers: Colts +1 (1-0)

Biggest lead: Jaguars 14-3; Colts 34-27

— Patriots 38, Browns 15 (at Cleveland)

Full-game winners: Patriots +2½, over 43½, Patriots +130 ML

First-half winners: Patriots +1, under 20½ (Patriots 10-6)

Second-half winners: Patriots +½, over 21 (Patriots 28-9)

Yards per play: Patriots 6.1, Browns 4.9 (Patriots lead 399-328 in total yards)

Turnovers: Patriots +3 (4-1)

Biggest lead: Patriots 38-15; Browns never led

— Jets 27, Packers 10 (at Green Bay)

Full-game winners: Jets +8, under 44½, Jets +320 ML

First-half winners: Jets +4½, under 22½ (Tied 3-3)

Second-half winners: Jets +3½, over 20½ (Jets 24-7)

Yards per play: Jets 5.2, Packers 4.0 (Tied 278-278 in total yards)

Turnovers: Jets +1 (1-0)

Biggest lead: Jets 27-10; Packers never led

— Giants 24, Ravens 20 (at East Rutherford, N.J.)

Full-game winners: Giants +5½, under 45½, Giants +210 ML

First-half winners: Giants +3½, under 22 (Ravens 10-7)

Second-half winners: Giants +1½, over 22½ (Giants 17-10)

Yards per play: Ravens 7.0, Giants 3.8 (Ravens lead 406-238 in total yards)

Turnovers: Giants +1 (2-1)

Biggest lead: Ravens 20-10; Giants 24-20

— Vikings 24, Dolphins 16 (at Miami)

Full-game winners: Vikings -3, under 45, Vikings -170 ML

First-half winners: Vikings -2½, under 22½ (Vikings 10-3)

Second-half winners: Vikings +½, over 21 (Vikings 14-13)

Yards per play: Vikings 4.7, Dolphins 6.3 (Dolphins lead 458-234 in total yards)

Turnovers: Vikings +3 (3-0)

Biggest lead: Vikings 24-10; Dolphins 3-0

— Falcons 28, 49ers 14 (at Atlanta)

Full-game winners: Falcons +3½, under 45½, Falcons +160 ML

First-half winners: Falcons +2½, over 22½ (Falcons 21-14)

Second-half winners: Falcons +4, under 23½ (Falcons 7-0)

Yards per play: 49ers 6.1, Falcons 5.2 (49ers lead 346-289 in total yards)

Turnovers: Falcons +3 (3-0)

Biggest lead: 49ers never led; Falcons 14-0, 28-14

— Rams 24, Panthers 10 (at Los Angeles)

Full-game winners: Rams -9½, under 41, Rams -450 ML

First-half winners: Panthers +6, under 20½ (Panthers 10-7).

Second-half winners: Rams -6, under 20 (Rams 17-0)

Yards per play: Panthers 4.6, Rams 5.7 (Rams lead 360-203 in total yards)

Turnovers: Even (1-1)

Biggest lead: Panthers 3-0, 10-7; Rams 24-10

— Seahawks 19, Cardinals 9 (at Seattle)

Full-game winners: Seahawks +2½, under 50½, Seahawks +115 ML

First-half winners: Seahawks +½, under 24½ (Seahawks 9-3).

Second-half winners: Seahawks +2½, under 24 (Seahawks 10-6)

Yards per play: Cardinals 4.4, Seahawks 4.5 (Cardinals lead 315-296 in total yards)

Turnovers: Seahawks +1 (2-1)

Biggest lead: Cardinals 3-0; Seahawks 19-9

— Bills 24, Chiefs 20 (at Kansas City)

Full-game winners: Bills -2½, under 54½, Bills -150 ML

First-half winners: Chiefs +1½, under 27 (Tied 10-10)

Second-half winners: Bills -2½, under 28 (Bills 14-10)

Yards per play: Bills 6.2, Chiefs 6.3 (Bills lead 443-387 in total yards)

Turnovers: Bills +1 (2-1)

Biggest lead: Bills 17-10; Chiefs 7-3

— Eagles 26, Cowboys 17 (at Philadelphia)

Full-game winners: Eagles -7, over 42½, Eagles -280 ML

First-half winners: Eagles -3½, over 20½ (Eagles 20-3)

Second-half winners: Cowboys +3, push total 20 (Cowboys 14-6)

Yards per play: Cowboys 4.9, Eagles 4.0 (Cowboys lead 315-270 in total yards)

Turnovers: Eagles +3 (3-0)

Biggest lead: Cowboys never led; Eagles 20-0

Contact David Schoen at dschoen@reviewjournal.com or 702-387-5203. Follow @DavidSchoenLVRJ on Twitter.

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Las Vegas handicapper Bruce Marshall is an analyst at VegasInsider.com. Each week, he provides the Review-Journal with NFL tech notes and trends.