The Kansas City Chiefs and the Houston Texans are playing for something most didn’t expect at the start of the weekend: the right to host the AFC Championship Game.
The top-seeded Baltimore Ravens’ loss to the Tennessee Titans on Saturday means either No. 2 Kansas City or No. 4 Houston will welcome the No. 6 Titans next week with a berth in Super Bowl LIV in Miami on the line. The Chiefs and Texans meet at 12:05 p.m. Sunday in Kansas City.
The Chiefs moved to 10-point favorites over the Texans on Sunday after sitting at 9½ for most of the week. The total is 51.
Refresh this blog throughout the game to track player props, movement on the live betting line, halftime bets and much more.
3:31 p.m.: That’s it, folks. We’ll be switching over the Seahawks-Packers blog now. Chiefs are -7½, total 52 against the Titans at Westgate.
3:29 p.m.: FINAL: Kansas City Chiefs 51, Houston Texans 31. Chiefs cover as 10-point favorites (-500 on the money line). Game goes way, way over 51. Kansas City will host Tennessee next week with a berth in the Super Bowl on the line.
3:12 p.m.: Here’s a funny one: Circa posted Tyreek Hill rushing yards at 4½. The receiver has one carry on a reverse for … 4 yards.
3:09 p.m.: Watson and Mahomes have sailed over their yardage props. Watson is at 294 (prop total 254½), and Mahomes is at 321 (prop 294½).
3:02 p.m.: Kansas City adds a field goal to take a 51-31 lead with 8:06 to play, and Chiefs -10 backers are likely headed to the window. Live spread Chiefs -19½ (-190), total 88½ (over -200).
2:58 p.m.: Texans fail on fourth down, and Chiefs can drive to clinch the ATS victory.
2:48 p.m.: Chiefs score again, on an 8-yard pass to Blake Bell, and lead 48-31 with 13:52 to play. Chiefs again outside the number, but far from decided.
2:44 p.m.: End of the third quarter: Chiefs 41, Texans 31. Spread still very much in doubt.
2:39 p.m.: Watson dives for a score, and the Texans keep things interesting, especially from an against the spread perspective, cutting the Chiefs’ lead to 41-31. Chiefs -40,000 on the money line, -13½, total 85½.
2:31 p.m.: Some decided player props: Will Chiefs running back Damien Williams score a TD? (Uh, yes, -120). Kelce over 73½ receiving yards (111 and counting). Texans QB Deshaun Watson over 1½ TD passes (2 so far, +105 odds). Mahomes over 2½ TD passes (4 and counting, +135 odds), Mahomes over 15 rushing yards (56 so far). Texans receiver DeAndre Hopkins over 77½ receiving yards (98 so far).
2:28 p.m.: And the Chiefs are outside the 10-point spread number for the first time. Williams scores his third TD of the game, and the Chiefs lead 41-24 with 4:39 left in the third quarter. No live money line listed, spread -18½, total 80½.
2:18 p.m.: The Texans appear to be about out of answers, having been outscored 34-0 since taking a 24-0 lead. Chiefs get the ball back, -25,000 on the money line, -14½ spread, total 77½.
2:08 p.m.: For the first time today, the Chiefs are on the number. Damien Williams scores on a 1-yard run, and the Chiefs are ahead 34-24, right on the 10-point line to start the game (extra point was no good). Kansas City is now -16,000 on the money line (Texans +850), spread -13½, total 80½.
1:59 p.m.: Easy day for over 51 bettors, with bets already won in the first half. First-half winners: Texans +6½, over 24½.
1:49 p.m.: Second-half lines: Chiefs -6½, total 26½ at William Hill. Chiefs -6½ (-120), total 27 at Westgate. Chiefs -7 (+105), total 27 at Circa.
1:48 p.m.: The Texans miss a field goal on the final play and we have made it to halftime after an incredible first 30 minutes. Chiefs 28, Texans 24.
1:42 p.m.: Unbelievable. The Chiefs, after being down 24-0, have taken a 28-24 lead in THE FIRST HALF. They are now -1,000 on the live money line (bet $1,000 to win $100). Texans are +575 to come back. Spread is 10½, total 79½.
1:30 p.m.: The Chiefs are -350 on the live line as they try to take the lead before halftime. Somehow.
1:22 p.m.: Travis Kelce catches his second touchdown pass, and the Chiefs have cut the lead to 24-21. Kansas City has gone from a -500 favorite pregame to a +300 underdog to a -350 favorite again, all in less than a half of football. -6½ spread, total 76½.
1:19 p.m.: Are you not entertained? Chiefs recover a fumble on the kickoff and are now -300 on the money line again. What a shift.
1:15 p.m.: Chiefs punch it in and are -145 favorites on the live line, -2½ (-125), total soaring to 71½.
1:14 p.m.: Chiefs are -125 on the live line now before actually scoring.
1:12 p.m.: Game back on? After the Texans fail on a fake punt, Houston is down to a -140 favorite on the live line.
1:05 p.m.: Finally, some life for the Chiefs as Damien Williams catches a 17-yard touchdown pass. Texans still lead 24-7 with 9:55 left in the second quarter. Texans drop to -200 on the live line (Chiefs +165), -4½, total 66½.
12:58 p.m.: Texans have a change of heart about going for it on fourth-and-1, kick a field goal to go up 24-0. Houston now -400 on the live money line (Chiefs +300 to come back), -9½ spread, total 60½ (over -120).
12:48 p.m.: End of the first quarter: Houston Texans 21, Kansas City Chiefs 0. First-quarter winners: Texans +3, total over 10.
12:47 p.m.: Texans force another punt and are now -350 on the money line, -7½ (-125). So you can get the Chiefs +7½ (-105) at William Hill if you still believe.
12:44 p.m.: Catching up on some props: A team will score three straight times cashes at -250. Largest lead over 17½ cashes at even odds. First score will be a TD cashed at -190.
12:38 p.m.: The Chiefs are showing the Ravens how you really implode. Muffed punt, another Texans TD, and Houston leads 21-0. Texans now -280 on the money line (Chiefs +225 to come back), -6½ spread, 62½ total.
12:28 p.m.: We have a new favorite. After the Chiefs’ drop on third down and punt, the Texans are -125 on the live line, total 58½.
12:21 p.m.: We are in the same situation as last night, 10-point home favorite down 14-0 early. Like the Ravens at this point, the Chiefs are still favored on the live line at -125, total 61½. Last night, bettors shoveled money in on Baltimore at the cheap price, assuming the Ravens would come back. Will they reload on Kansas City?
12:19 p.m.: Didn’t we just see this? Texans block a punt, return for a touchdown, and Houston leads 14-0. Yes on a special teams or defensive touchdown cashes at +240. Going back to the first score, Stills was 16-1 to score the first touchdown at Westgate, 19-1 at Circa.
12:12 p.m.: WOW. Kenny Stills catches a 54-yard touchdown on a blown coverage, and Texans lead 7-0. Chiefs down to -250 on the money line (Texans +200), spread -5½ (-120), total 55½. Longest TD over 43½ cashes quickly.
12:05 p.m.: And away we go. Texans start on offense.
11:39 p.m.: We’re about 20 minutes from game time. The line is holding steady at 10, but the total is trending down, hitting 50½. Weather update: Temperatures in the low 30s and cloudy.