Oregon, Boise State should push total over in Las Vegas Bowl

Updated December 15, 2017 - 7:47 pm

With the total at 61, the over is the play for Saturday’s Las Vegas Bowl between Oregon and Boise State at Sam Boyd Stadium.

The Ducks won’t have star running back Royce Freeman because he’s sitting out to stay healthy for the NFL draft, but that just means more touches for capable reserves Kani Benoit and Tony Brooks-James.

Oregon quarterback Justin Herbert missed six games after breaking his collarbone in September. The sophomore returned for the Ducks’ final two games, home wins over Arizona (48-28) and Oregon St. (69-10) that netted combined scores of 76 and 79 points.

In Herbert’s seven starts this season, the combined scores have been 98, 77, 62, 72, 69, 76 and 79. The Ducks are averaging 52.1 points in those seven games. This is the lowest total Oregon has had when Herbert has been healthy.

Boise State can produce plenty of points, too. The Broncos scored at least 41 points in four of their final six games.

The quarterback combination of Brett Rypien and Montell Cozart has a 24-to-5 touchdown-to-interception ratio for the Broncos.

Four more plays (home team in CAPS):

North Texas-Troy (Under 62): The under is 9-3 overall for Troy, and this is the highest total it has seen all season. The Trojans are going to be without three wide receivers for undisclosed reasons for the New Orleans Bowl. North Texas won’t have injured leading rusher Jeffery Wilson, who ran for 1,215 yards and 16 TDs and averaged 6.5 yards per carry, in the Mean Green’s first 11 games.

Marshall (+4) over Colorado State: Marshall has a 5-0 spread record with two outright wins in five games as an underdog this season. The Thundering Herd lost their final two regular-season games by a total of three points, but that was without leading receiver Tyre Brady. He has recovered from his injury and is ready to play in the New Mexico Bowl. Marshall is ranked 17th in the nation in scoring defense (19.2 ppg). The Herd are 10-1 in their past 11 bowl games, going 5-0 both straight up and ATS since 2009.

Florida Atlantic (-22½) over Akron: This is one of the highest spreads in college bowl history, and I don’t think the number is high enough. This is a true home game for Florida Atlantic, which has won six straight games at FAU Stadium while going 5-1 ATS. Four of those six wins have come by at least 24 points. The Owls should hang at least 50 points on the Zips in the Boca Raton Bowl. I’m also endorsing plays on Florida Atlantic’s team total to go over what I’m expecting to be 48 or less and on the Owls in the first half if the line is 14 or fewer.

Florida International (+7½) over Temple: Florida International has a 6-2 record both straight up and ATS in its past eight games as an underdog. Golden Panthers quarterback Alex McGough has a 12-to-2 TD-to-interception ratio in his past six games. The location, St. Petersburg, Florida, in the Sunshine State, favors Florida International, and so does the motivation because this program is going bowling for the first time since 2011.

Last week: 0-0 against the spread

Season: 38-32-2

Brian Edwards of VegasInsider.com and BrianEdwardsSports.com is providing college football analysis for the Las Vegas Review-Journal. Follow @vegasbedwards on Twitter.

ad-high_impact_4
Sports Betting Spotlight Videos
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Football Week 13
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart, and John Lukasik discuss their picks for College Football Week 13
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 12
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart, and John Lukasik discuss their picks for NFL Week 12
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Football Week 12
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart, and John Lukasik discuss their picks for College Football Week 12.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 11
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart, and John Lukasik discuss their picks for NFL Week 11.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 10
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart, and John Lukasik break down the NFL Week 10 slate.
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Week 11
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart, and John Lukasik break down college football week 11 match ups.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 9
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and John Lukasik pick their best bets for week 9 of the NFL football season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Week 10
Description: Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and John Lukasik pick their best bets for week 10 of the college football season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 8
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and John Lukasik pick their best bets for week 8 of the NFL football season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Football Week 9
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and John Lukasik pick their best bets for week 9 of the college football season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Football Week 8
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and John Lukasik pick their best bets for week 8 of the college football season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 7
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and John Lukasik pick their best bets for week 7 of the NFL football season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Football Week 7
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and John Lukasik pick their best bets for week 7 of the college football season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Week 6
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and John Lukasik pick their best bets for week 6 of the college football season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 5
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and John Lukasik pick their best bets for week 5 of the NFL football season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Week 5
Todd Dewey and John Lukasik go over their picks for week five of college football.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 4
Todd Dewey and John Lukasik go over their picks for week four of the NFL.
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Football Week 4
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and The Cromwell sports book director, John Lukasik go over their picks for week four of college football.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 3
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and The Cromwell sports book director, John Lukasik go over their picks for week three of the NFL.
Sports Betting Spotlight: Canelo vs. GGG
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and The Linq Hotel sports book director, John Lukasik go over the lines and their picks for Canelo vs. GGG 2.
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Football Week 3
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and The Linq Hotel sports book director, John Lukasik go over their picks for week three of college football.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 2
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and The Linq Hotel sports book director, John Lukasik go over their picks for week two of the NFL.
TOP NEWS
News Headlines
Add Event
Home Front Page Footer Listing
Circular
You May Like

You May Like