Raiders most popular Super Bowl pick at Las Vegas sports books

Just win 10 games and the Super Bowl, baby!

That’s what bettors at Las Vegas sports books are banking on this season from the Oakland Raiders. There are more tickets on Oakland to win Super Bowl LII than on any other team and more than twice as many tickets on Las Vegas’ future NFL franchise to go over their win total of 9.5 than under.

“The Raiders are the new favorite in Las Vegas, basically, because of them coming here,” Golden Nugget sports book director Tony Miller said. “My ticket count on the Raiders far outweighs every other team to win the Super Bowl and the AFC and our liability.”

Heavy action at William Hill sports books on Oakland to win the Super Bowl has driven its odds down from 22-1 to 7-1, which is the second choice behind the New England Patriots (11-4).

“They’re betting the Raiders across the board — to win their division (minus-110), the AFC (3-1) and the Super Bowl,” William Hill sports book director Nick Bogdanovich said. “If (quarterback Derek) Carr stays healthy, they should be fine. They were playing at an all-time level before he got hurt. If he’s back to 100 percent, I think they’ll do super.”

The favored Patriots are the only team to have more money wagered on them to win the Super Bowl than the Raiders. The top five Super Bowl ticket count at the Westgate as of Tuesday was 626 on Oakland, 598 on the Packers, 510 on the Cowboys, 492 on the Steelers and 470 on the Giants.

William Hill, which gets a lot of action on Bay Area teams at its books in Northern Nevada, has the highest win total on Oakland at 10 (under -155). But most books in Las Vegas have the Raiders’ total at 9.5.

While the betting public is backing the over, Westgate sports book manager Ed Salmons said sharp bettors are on the under.

“There’s a lot of professional money on the under,” he said. “If you made me bet, I would bet under. Just because usually when teams go from six or seven wins and bounce up to 12 or 13, the rule is they’ll usually bounce back in the other direction.”

Oakland improved from 7-9 in 2015 to 12-4 last season, when it won five games by three points or fewer.

Matthew Holt, vice-president of CG Technology sports books, also has taken a lot of sharp action on under Oakland’s 2017 win total.

“They think the Raiders may regress a little bit playing in a tough division,” Holt said. “You can make a strong case that the AFC West has the smallest gap of any division in football between the top team and the bottom team.

“They’re all really close, but they’re treating Oakland like the overwhelming favorite to win it.”

The Raiders are the minus-110 favorites at William Hill to win the AFC West. The Chiefs are plus-260, and the Broncos and Chargers are each 5-1.

The sharp money also is against Oakland in Sunday’s season opener at Tennessee. The Raiders are 1½-point underdogs after opening as 1½-point favorites.

“We’ve taken almost twice as many bets on the Raiders, but all the big bets are on the Titans,” Holt said.

Miller said winning the opener is crucial to Oakland’s title hopes.

“If they can win that game, it sets them up on the path to play the Patriots in the AFC championship game,” he said.

Oakland finished 10-7 against the spread last season and went over in 12 of 17 games.

Best bets

Miller likes the Carolina Panthers to bounce back from last season’s 6-10 finish and top their win total of 9 behind a healthy Cam Newton, rookie running back Christian McCaffrey and a rugged defense.

“The Panthers can come back and vie for the NFC championship,” he said.

Salmons likes the Cleveland Browns to top their win total of 4.5. The over has soared to a minus-180 favorite.

“It’s funny to hear this, but their defensive line is one of the better lines in the NFL,” Salmons said. “This team’s going to play some solid defense. Over 4.5 wins seems like one of the better bets to me.

“They play the Jets at home. That’s one. Getting to five wins is not a lot in this league.”

On the subject of the Jets — whose starting quarterback is 38-year-old journeyman Josh McCown — they suffered a historic fall in win total, dropping from 5 to 3.5 (under -140). New York is a 1,000-1 shot to win the Super Bowl.

“It’s not a surprise,” Salmons said. “It looks like the first NFL team to say, ‘We’re going to lose and lose a lot this year and guarantee ourselves one of those (college) quarterbacks.’”

Sleepers

Holt and Bogdanovich each like the Titans and Tampa Bay Buccaneers as long shots that could surprise this season. Holt also listed the Broncos and Philadelphia Eagles as sleeper picks to win it all.

“Everybody wants to give the Patriots the crown, but anything can happen in this wild season,” Bogdanovich said. “Look at the Raiders last year. They were poised to do good, and then Carr broke his leg.”

More Raiders: Follow all of our Raiders coverage online at reviewjournal.com/Raiders and @NFLinVegas on Twitter.

Contact reporter Todd Dewey at tdewey@reviewjournal.com. Follow @tdewey33 on Twitter.

ad-high_impact_4
Sports Betting Spotlight Videos
Sports Betting Spotlight: Baltimore Ravens
Sports Betting Spotlight host Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and CG Analytics Oddsmaker Will Bernanke go over the odds for the Baltimore Ravens 2018 season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: Arizona Cardinals
Todd Dewey, Johnny Avello and Kelly Stewart go over the odds for the Arizona Cardinals upcoming season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: Seattle Seahawks
Todd Dewey, Johnny Avello and Kelly Stewart go over the odds for the Seattle Seahawks upcoming season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: San Francisco 49ers
Todd Dewey, Johnny Avello and Kelly Stewart go over the odds for the San Francisco 49ers upcoming season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: Los Angeles Rams
Todd Dewey, Johnny Avello and Kelly Stewart go over the odds for the Los Angeles Rams upcoming season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: Oakland Raiders
Todd Dewey, Johnny Avello and Kelly Stewart go over the odds for the Oakland Raiders upcoming season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: Denver Broncos
Todd Dewey, Johnny Avello and Kelly Stewart go over the odds for the Denver Broncos upcoming season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: Kansas City Chiefs
Todd Dewey, Johnny Avello and Kelly Stewart go over the odds for the Kansas City Chiefs upcoming season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: Los Angeles Chargers
Todd Dewey, Johnny Avello and Kelly Stewart go over the odds for the Los Angeles Chargers upcoming season.
Raiders Videos
Vegas Nation: Donald Penn Returns
Bryan Salmond is in studio and Michael Gehlken reports on Donald Penn's return to practice from Napa, CA on August 14, 2018.
Donald Penn Returns to Practice
Oakland Raiders tackle Donald Penn returns to practice for the first time in nearly eight months after an Lisfranc fracture in Dec. The veteran tackle speaks to the media what it's like being back and potentially moving to right tackle.
Vegas Nation: Conley Returns, Bryant Absent
Vegas Nation host Bryan Salmond and Raiders beat writer Michael Gehlken go over the Gareon Conley returning to practice.
Vegas Nation Stadium Show: Stadium And Practice Facility Update
Vegas Nation Stadium Host Bill Bradley, Rick Velotta and Eli Segall go over the progress on the Raiders stadium and practice facility in Las Vegas.
Vegas Nation: Preseason Preview
Vegas Nation host Bryan Salmond and Raiders beat writer Michael Gehlken go over what to expect from the Raiders first preseason game.
Vegas Nation: Day 2 of Joint Practice
Michael Gehlken and Gilbert Manzano report from Napa, CA on the second day of joint practice between the Oakland Raiders and the Detroit Lions.
Sports Betting Spotlight: Oakland Raiders
Todd Dewey, Johnny Avello and Kelly Stewart go over the odds for the Oakland Raiders upcoming season.
Gruden Wraps Up Final Joint Practice with Lions
Raiders head coach Jon Gruden talks to the media about practicing with the Detroit Lions, how Martavis Bryant is doing in camp, and an update on Donald Penn.
Vegas Nation: Training Camp Joint Practice
Michael Gehlken and Gilbert Manzano cover day one of the two day joint session between the Oakland Raiders and Detroit Lions.
Raiders Host First Joint Practice with Lions
Raiders quarterback Derek Carr and defensive end Mario Edwards Jr. talk about what it was like practicing with the Detroit Lions on Tuesday.
Vegas Nation: Raiders preparing for joint practice with Lions
Raiders beat writer Michael Gehlken provides an update on Obi Melifonwu performance in practice as well as the Raiders preparation for the joint practice with the Detroit Lions starting Tuesday.
Vegas Nation: Day 7 Of Training Camp
Vegas Nation host Bryan Salmond and Raiders beat writer Michael Gehlken go over the seventh day of Raiders training camp.
Vegas Nation: Peyton Manning Visits Raiders
Vegas Nation host Bryan Salmond and Raiders beat writer Michael Gehlken goes over Raiders practice and Peyton Manning visiting the teams camp.
Raiders React to Fifth Day of Training Camp
Oakland Raiders head coach Jon Gruden, safety Reggie Nelson and center Rodney Hudson respond to questions from the media on the team's fifth day of training camp.
Vegas Nation: Oakland Raiders training camp Day 3
Raiders beat writer Michael Gehlken and sports columnist Ed Graney go over the team's third day of training camp, discuss what Gareon Conley's injury, review the team's first day in pads and what the Raiders will look to do at running back.
Former Raiders' linebacker Villapiano discuss Raiders' move
Former Raiders linebacker Phil Villapiano speaks with Review-Journal sports columnist Ed Graney about the team's impending move to Las Vegas.
Vegas Nation: Oakland Raiders training camp Day 2
Raiders beat writer Michael Gehlken and sports columnist Ed Graney go over the team's second day of training camp, discuss Gareon Conley missing sessions and what it'll be like when the team starts practicing with pads on Sunday.
Raiders Look Forward to First Practice with Pads on Sunday
Greg Olson, Kelechi Osemele and Doug Martin react to team's first practice with pads on Sunday
Vegas Nation: Olson believes Carr, QBs have developed "thick skin" under Gruden
Raiders offensive coordinator Greg Olson explains how the Raiders quarterbacks have responded to Jon Gruden's tough coaching style.
Vegas Nation: Olson pleased with progress of rookie linemen Miller, Parker
Raiders offensive coordinator Greg Olson describes what he has seen out of rookie offensive linemen Kolton Miller and Brandon Parker so far.
Raiders React To First Day Of Training Camp
Jon Gruden, Derek Carr and Kolton Miller react to the first day of training camp.
Vegas Nation: Martin calls Raiders O-Line "the best" he's ran behind
Raiders running back Doug Martin speaks no how different it is running behind his new offensive line in Oakland
Vegas Nation: Raiders Training Camp Day 1
Vegas Nation host Bryan Salmond, Raiders beat writer Michael Gehlken and sports columnist Ed Graney go over the Raiders first day of training camp.
Vegas Nation: Miller on Penn, Jackson helping him out
Raiders rookie tackle Kolton Miller talks about the veterans he has leaned on during the offseason
Vegas Nation: Miller happy about weight gain
Raiders offensive tackle Kolton Miller talks about his weight gain prior to training camp.
Vegas Nation: Carr says Kolton Miller is "ready"
Raiders quarterback Derek Carr shares his thoughts on Kolton Miller—compliments the rookie's physical progression during offseason.
Vegas Nation: Carr "confident" in executing Gruden's offense
Raiders quarterback Derek Carr details what it's like learning Jon Gruden's offense.
Vegas Nation: Gruden believes "competition" makes for an exciting training camp
Raiders head coach Jon Gruden discusses his goals for training camp.
Vegas Nation: Jordy Nelson meets Gruden's expectations
Raiders head coach Jon Gruden indicates that Jordy Nelson continues to play like how he did in Green Bay prior to injury.
Vegas Nation: Gruden hopes Khalil Mack comes back to team soon
Raiders head coach Jon Gruden focuses on coaching current crop of players as he waits for the resolution of Khalil Mack's contract situation.
Raiders BBQ
On Friday, July 20, Oakland Raiders head coach Jon Gruden hosted — and paid for — a free barbecue for Raiders fans. Gruden teamed up with the Raiders and Ricky's Sports Theater and Grill in San Leandro, Calif. as a way to show thanks and gratitude for the support of the Raider Nation. Over 500 Raiders fans showed up to the event that had music, raffles, and appearances from Raiders alumni. This was the final event before the Raiders begin their training camp next week in Napa. Chris Booker Las Vegas Review-Journal
TOP NEWS
News Headlines
Add Event
Home Front Page Footer Listing
Circular
You May Like

You May Like