THE HOT CORNER: Super Bowl Prop Bets


Packers QB Aaron Rodgers (Over 22½ completions)

Attacking the Pittsburgh defense through the air is the only way to go. The Steelers rank No. 1 in the NFL against the run, but Tom Brady came out firing and completed 30 passes in New England’s 39-26 victory over Pittsburgh on Nov. 14. Green Bay should employ a similar game plan; expect Rodgers and his talented receivers to connect on about 25 passes.


Will the game be tied after 0-0? (Yes +120)

It’s difficult to see this becoming a rout like some past Super Bowls. Expect Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers and the Steelers’ Ben Roethlisberger to trade shots throughout a close game. The point spread indicates this should be a tight one, so there definitely could be more than one tie after 0-0, which makes this plus-money prop a worthwhile play.

Total rushing yards for Steelers running back Rashard Mendenhall (Over 74½)

The Steelers will focus on establishing the run early against a Green Bay defense that will bend on the ground. Mendenhall can be a workhorse, as he was in the AFC title game (27 carries, 121 yards). He had 95 yards in the first half vs. the Jets. This total appears too low; look for Mendenhall to top 80 yards.


Will a Jeremy Kapinos punt result in a touchback? (Yes, plus-140)

Pittsburgh’s punter has played in just seven games this season but had a punt result in a touchback in four of those contests. Kapinos should have plenty of opportunities against a stout Green Bay defense, and the nerves of the big stage and playing against his former team will put pressure on the young kicker.

Number of Packers to have a rush attempt (Over 4, -170)

Only once since the midway point of the season have less than four Packers carried the ball in a game. Aaron Rodgers is a scrambler, and Green Bay rotates three backs. The bet should do no worse than push, but expect another player, such as wide receiver Greg Jennings, to get at least one shot to run the ball.

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