TODAY AT SANTA ANITA PARK
By Richard Eng
Post Time 12:30 p.m.
Race 1 – 1 1/16th miles, Purse $27,000, Claiming $25,000, 3-year-olds
Tap Tap I Win – Should get more value because Garrett Gomez is replaced by Danny Sorenson; class drop will help.
Forgive Your Sins – His last two races are better due to a much lower class level; cozy outside trip for Joel Rosario.
Long Shot – Form a Posse
Race 2 – 1 mile (turf, rail at 15 feet), Purse $37,000, Claiming $40,000, 4-year-olds
Rumba Along – He is not as good a horse on synthetics as he’s proven over grass; class drop will help her a lot too.
If It Stays Fair – Gutted out a hard win in last and could see another positive race shape again; will sit and pounce late.
Long Shot – Sanquine
Race 3 – 5 1/2 furlongs, Purse $15,000, Maiden claiming $25,000, Fillies and mares, 4-year-olds and up
River Spey – Beaten favorite can win if she runs back to her solid debut effort; better if ridden with more patience.
Hannah’s Moment – She’s cashed a lot of paychecks without winning yet; like that Rafael Bejarano rides in a cheap race.
Long Shot – Shezbad
Race 4 – 6 furlongs, Purse $15,000, Claiming $12,500, Fillies, 4-year-olds
Blame the Wine – Sliding down the claiming ladder for Doug O’Neill; figures to get a good ride from Rafael Bejarano.
Homemade Brew – Hard to get excited over a low percentage rider on the favorite; may win but needs to be superior.
Long Shot – No Cream Or Sugar
Race 5 – 6 1/2 furlongs (turf, rail at 15 feet), Purse $48,000, Optional claiming $80,000, Fillies, 3-year-olds
Oui Say Oui – John Sadler does well with these imports; filly has had plenty of time to acclimate.
Starlarks – Was rank and in tight quarters in U.S. debut; big rider switch to Joe Talamo who has calmer hands.
Long Shot – Play Nine
Race 6 – 7 furlongs, Purse $45,000, Maiden special weights, 3-year-olds
Pauper’s Prize – Was way overmatched in the rich Turf Paradise Derby; his two MSW races are fast enough to graduate.
Margarita Shot – Outran his 24/1 odds in career debut; upset chance if he improves even just a single step.
Long Shot – Caspian
Race 7 – 1 1/2 miles (turf, rail at 15 feet), $150,000 San Luis Rey, 4-year-olds and up
Artiste Royal – Was bottled up in the mile Kilroe last time; his big graded wins have come at marathon distances.
Spring House – Upset win in last was aided by a perfect ride by Alex Solis; turf races are dictated by the trip you get.
Long Shot – You Got Me Rocking
Race 8 – 6 1/2 furlongs, Purse $13,000, Claiming $10,000, 4-year-olds and up
Rogue Scholar – Speedball broke slow and then rallied late for place; suspect he’s on last legs, but still can run.
Orientation Hall – Gary Sherluck has opened my eyes with recent work; he adds blinkers on, expect better.
Long Shot – Swiss Ski
Race 9 – 6 1/2 furlongs (turf, rail at 15 feet), $65,000 Joe Hernandez, 4-year-olds and up
Dilemma – Hasn’t run down the hill in a while, but draws a favorable parking lot post; figures to fire fast late.
U S Ranger – Toughest U.S. debut possible in the Breeders’ Cup Mile; Neil Drysdale takes the blinkers off.
Long Shot – Dodgen Bullets
Race 10 – 7 furlongs, Purse $18,000, Maiden claiming $32,000, Fillies, 3-year-olds
Flash Dance – Like the turn back in distance from a 2-turn mile to an elongated sprint; best stride will come late.
Spirited Lady – Beaten favorite retains the faith of Rafael Bejarano; need not be much to compete in this spot.
Long Shot – Sarah’s Melody
Best Bet – Pauper’s Prize (race 6)
Santa Anita Friday – Picks/Winners/Mutuels, 16/3/$14.80; Long Shots, 7/2/$20.20; Best Bet, 1/0/$0
Santa Anita Totals – 1,011/235/$1,603.60; Long Shots, 499/79/$906.20; Best Bets, 59/24/$88.40
SIMULCAST PICK OF THE DAY – #3 Semaphore Man (5/2) in race 10 at Oaklawn. For scoring purposes, we’ll make a hypothetical $2 win, place and show bet, $6 total. On Friday, Chary ran third at Gulfstream paying $2.20 to show. Stats – 32/27/$193.20