NFL Week 13 Capsules



New England (7-4) at Miami (5-6)

TIME: 10 a.m. LINE: Patriots -51/2 TOTAL: 461/2


WEATHER: High 70s

FACTS: New England QB Tom Brady had the only perfect passer rating of his career in his last visit to Miami, in 2007, when he threw for six TDs in a 49-28 victory. Three years earlier at Miami, he matched a personal futility mark by throwing four interceptions in a 21-0 loss. … Miami RB Ricky Williams, who has 336 yards rushing over the past three weeks, has had three straight games of 20-plus carries for the first time since he averaged a league-leading 24.5 in 2003 at age 26.

ANALYSIS: For the third straight year, the Pats have dominated possession like no one else, with a 142-play advantage over their opponents. It’s going to be hard for Miami to muster much offense, especially without Ronnie Brown (IR) executing the Wildcat.

FORECAST: Patriots 30, Dolphins 20


Denver (7-4) at Kansas City (3-8)

TIME: 10 a.m. LINE: Broncos -41/2 TOTAL: 38

TV: None

WEATHER: High 30s

FACTS: Denver is coming off a 26-6 Thanksgiving upset of the Giants and an extended rest. Teams with a Thanksgiving break went 5-1 against the line in their next game last year, but were only 3-13 the previous three seasons. … With the exception of two blowout losses to the Chargers, the Chiefs are 5-0 against the line since mid-October.

ANALYSIS: Chiefs RB Jamaal Charles, who averages 5.2 yards per rush, has been an enormous upgrade over former K.C. troublemaker Larry Johnson (2.9). There will be no letup against a Denver team that wasn’t as good as the Giants were bad.

FORECAST: Chiefs 24, Broncos 19


Oakland (3-8) at Pittsburgh (6-5)

TIME: 10 a.m. LINE: Steelers -141/2 TOTAL: 37

TV: None

WEATHER: High 30s

FACTS: The Raiders are playing an early-Sunday jet lag game for the second time this year. In the first, they were wiped out 44-7 by the Giants, who referred to the outing as a scrimmage. … It appears Pittsburgh QB Ben Roethlisberger (probable, concussion) will be back in the lineup after belatedly bailing out last week. … In their last meeting in 2006, the host Raiders had only 98 yards of offense but won 20-13 thanks to two TDs on interceptions.

ANALYSIS: Although Oakland doesn’t exactly have the league’s worst offense (No. 31) and Pittsburgh doesn’t have the best defense (No. 3), it’s close enough to acknowledge this: Since 1982, when teams that finished No. 1 on defense played the worst-rated offense, the team with the defensive dominance was 18-6-3 against the line.

FORECAST: Steelers 26, Raiders 6


Houston (5-6) at Jacksonville (6-5)

TIME: 10 a.m. LINE: Pick TOTAL: 461/2

TV: None

WEATHER: Mid-60s

FACTS: Houston is 5-2 against the spread at Jacksonville, winning straight up as underdogs of 7, 10 and 11 points. … In the Texans’ crash-and-burn 35-27 loss to Indianapolis last week, they had a minus-104 penalty yard differential, the most lopsided margin in the league this year. … The Jaguars are in a three-way tie for the second wild card despite being outscored by 53 points. St. Louis was a wild card in 2004 despite a minus-73 margin.

ANALYSIS: The Jaguars already have won at Houston this year, 31-24 as a 4-point underdog behind Maurice Jones-Drew’s three TDs, so they should be confident. And last week’s 20-3 loss in San Francisco was misleading. Three times they penetrated the 49ers’ 35.

FORECAST: Jaguars 27, Texans 21


Tennessee (5-6) at Indianapolis (11-0)

TIME: 10 a.m. LINE: Colts -61/2 TOTAL: 47

TV: CBS (8)

FACTS: Since 1929, 13 teams have gotten to 11-0. Those teams were 7-6 in their next game, including a 35-3 Colts victory over the Titans in 2005. … Of the seven 99-yard TD drives in the league this year, two have been by Tennessee, including last week’s 18-play, game-winning march led by QB Vince Young. … The Titans hadn’t given up a TD on a kickoff since 1999 until last week. The longest streak in his history is 20 years by Green Bay from 1949-1968.

ANALYSIS: The TV folks keep harping on the Titans’ 31st-rated pass defense being no match for Peyton Manning. But during their 5-0 surge, they’ve yielded six TDs and had seven interceptions. That ratio was 19/4 during their 0-6 start. Tennessee is healthy and playing like it.

FORECAST: Titans 24, Colts 21


Philadelphia (7-4) at Atlanta (6-5)

TIME: 10 a.m. LINE: Eagles -51/2 TOTAL: 44

TV: Fox (5)

FACTS: Atlanta is 5-0 at home but straining to earn a wild card. Only three teams in history have been perfect at home and not qualified for the postseason. … Falcons QB Matt Ryan (out, toe) won’t be damaging his sensitive skin this week. Journeyman Chris Redman will make the 11th start of his seven-year career. … Eagles playmaking WR/return man DeSean Jackson is out with a concussion. Atlanta RB Michael Turner is questionable (ankle).

ANALYSIS: What was particularly ugly for Atlanta last week that Redman was sacked five times by a Buccaneers team that had 17 entering the game. Eagles pass rushers are licking their beaks.

FORECAST: Eagles 27, Falcons 14


Detroit (2-9) at Cincinnati (8-3)

TIME: 10 a.m. LINE: Bengals -13 TOTAL: 42

TV: None

WEATHER: Mid-40s

FACTS: There’s going to be high drama if Lions QB Matthew Stafford (probable, shoulder) needs to leave the game. Will backup Daunte Culpepper put on his helmet or pout? … Bengals QB Carson Palmer will be facing a pass defense that has given up a league-high 27 TD throws and has a league-low six interceptions. … Last week, Larry Johnson (107 yards) became the third Bengals runner to reach 100 in a game the past four weeks.

ANALYSIS: Cincinnati RB Cedric Benson (probable, hip) quickly found out he isn’t so indispensable after watching former outcast Johnson and Bernard Scott excel. Regardless of who plays Sunday, the Bengals’ running game will be spirited.

FORECAST: Bengals 38, Lions 10


New Orleans (11-0) at Washington (3-8)

TIME: 10 a.m. LINE: Saints -91/2 TOTAL: 471/2

TV: None

WEATHER: Mid-40s

FACTS: Washington QB Jason Campbell, who said he blacked out on Washington’s final play last week, is expected to play. He isn’t on the injury report. … Saints QB Drew Brees had the second perfect passer rating in the league this season in a 38-17 victory over New England on Monday. … New Orleans has yielded a TD drive on its foes’ first drive in four of the past five games. By comparison, three teams haven’t given up even one opening touchdown march all season.

ANALYSIS: New Orleans’ balloon is just begging to get popped with all the recent off-the-street defensive acquisitions. And can the Saints take the energy from their resounding Monday night victory on the road? Probably enough to win.

FORECAST: Saints 28, Redskins 24


Tampa Bay (1-10) at Carolina (4-7)

TIME: 10 a.m. LINE: Panthers -6 TOTAL: 40

TV: None

WEATHER: Mid-40s

FACTS: Carolina, which will be led by QB Matt Moore this week instead of Jake Delhomme (broken finger), won as a 31/2-point favorite at Tampa Bay in Week 6, 28-21. … Panthers RB DeAngelo Williams, who has had 120-plus yards in four of their past seven games, has missed three days of practice this week (questionable, ankle).

ANALYSIS: For the second straight game, Tampa Bay catches a break. Last week, Atlanta QB Matt Ryan was knocked out early and replaced by Chris Redman. This week they get Moore. But Carolina should fare well with a more mobile QB who was 2-1 as a rookie starter in 2007.

FORECAST: Panthers 20, Buccaneers 10


St. Louis (1-10) at Chicago (4-7)

TIME: 10 a.m. LINE: Bears -9 TOTAL: 41

TV: None

WEATHER: High 30s

FACTS: The Rams not only are playing away from home for the first time in five weeks, but for the first time outdoors since Oct. 18. … Chicago’s Jay Cutler threw two more interceptions in enemy territory last week at Minnesota, giving him 13 this season. No other team has more than nine. … The Bears had only eight first downs last week to Minnesota’s 31. That’s the biggest gap of the year.

ANALYSIS: The Rams aren’t going anywhere with Kyle Boller subbing for Marc Bulger at QB, especially with RB Steven Jackson (questionable, back) feeling the pain.

FORECAST: Bears 24, Rams 9


San Diego (8-3) at Cleveland (1-10)

TIME: 1:05 p.m. LINE: Chargers -13 TOTAL: 421/2


WEATHER: High 30s

FACTS: Over the past 10 weeks, a team has failed to reach 200 yards of total offense 24 times. The Browns have done so in seven of their past nine games, not to mention the final five games of last season. … San Diego’s charged-up running game has averaged 35 carries and 142 yards the past three weeks since rushing 15 times for 34 yards in a comeback victory against the Giants.

ANALYSIS: At this point one has to wonder if any losses are devastating to the Browns, but surely their last-play loss to Detroit two weeks ago has taken a toll.

FORECAST: Chargers 27, Browns 6


San Francisco (5-6) at Seattle (4-7)

TIME: 1:15 p.m. LINE: Pick TOTAL: 41

TV: None

WEATHER: High 30s

FACTS: San Francisco, two games out of first in the NFC West, would have the lead two Sundays from now if it wins today and next week at home against Arizona, provided the Cardinals fall this week to Minnesota. … Seven times this year QBs have had 300-yards games but not thrown for a TD. Three times it happened against the 49ers, including last week’s 307-yard effort by Jacksonville’s David Garrard. … San Francisco’s Frank Gore had 207 yards rushing when these teams met in Week 2, a 23-10 49ers victory.

ANALYSIS: Gore and improving QB Alex Smith (five TDs, one interception the past two weeks) are benefiting from coach Mike Singletary’s fierce drive. The Seahawks, meanwhile, were pushed around a little bit too much last week at St. Louis.

FORECAST: 49ers 28, Seahawks 21


Dallas (8-3) at N.Y. Giants (6-5)

TIME: 1:15 p.m. LINE: Cowboys -2 TOTAL: 451/2

TV: Fox (5)

WEATHER: Low 40s

FACTS: The Giants have gone 1-5 since Eli Manning had a perfect passer rating in a 44-7 victory against Oakland in Week 5. … Even though New York had a plus-4 turnover edge over Dallas in their Week 2 meeting at Cowboys Stadium, it took a 37-yard FG on the last play to win it 33-31. In 31 games this year, no team with a turnover edge of plus-3 or better has lost. … Dallas has allowed two 100-yard receivers all season — the Giants’ Mario Manningham (150) and Steve Smith (134).

ANALYSIS: The Cowboys’ loss in that last meeting was one of the freakish games of the season, with Dallas QB Tony Romo heaving three interceptions despite having a running game that generated an astounding 251 yards. The Cowboys have since improved. The Giants haven’t.

FORECAST: Cowboys 31, Giants 21


Minnesota (10-1) at Arizona (7-4)

TIME: 5:15 p.m. LINE: Vikings -31/2 TOTAL: 48

TV: NBC (3) RADIO: KWWN-AM (1100)

WEATHER: Mid-60s

FACTS: The Vikings won last year at Phoenix 35-14 as a 41/2-point underdog. Minnesota QB Tarvaris Jackson had four TD passes and no interceptions. … The Vikings’ 537 yards against Chicago last week were second most in the league this season. The Cardinals gave up the third most, when Tennessee got 532 in Week 12. … Vikings RB Adrian Peterson, who has a league-high 15 fumbles the past two seasons, was ticketed for driving 109 mph last Saturday. No doubt he then fumbled for his license and registration.

ANALYSIS: Arizona QB Kurt Warner (questionable, head) is to be a game-time decision. So, the Cardinals’ options are go to with Matt Leinart, who’s guided Arizona to one TD in six quarters, or a QB who’s complaining about not being able to see.

FORECAST: Vikings 31, Cardinals 17




Baltimore (6-5) at Green Bay (7-4)

TIME: 5:30 p.m. LINE: Packers -3 TOTAL: 43

TV: ESPN (30) RADIO: KWWN-AM (1100)

WEATHER: Low 30s, 40 percent chance of rain

FACTS: In the Ravens’ 20-17 overtime victory Sunday, they had 393 yards of offense. It was the most allowed by the Steelers this year and knocked them off their No. 1 defensive perch. … Go figure: The league’s top five offenses belong to division leaders. None of the top five defensive teams is in first.

ANALYSIS: It has to be alarming to the Ravens that even in victory last week they needed overtime to beat a first-time QB starter (Dennis Dixon). Third-rated Aaron Rodgers awaits.

FORECAST: Packers 20, Ravens 13


Last week’s record: 10-4-1 vs. spread; 11-5 straight up

Season record: 85-86-4 vs. spread; 104-72 straight up

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