My Super Bowl betting strategy is simple: I’m picking the Patriots to win a tight game, but I’m going to try for a “middle” by using the Rams in a 7-point teaser.
Brent Musburger, a veteran sports broadcaster, writes a weekly column for his Vegas Stats and Information Network, which simulcasts his show Monday through Friday from 3 to 5 p.m. Follow @BrentMusburger on Twitter
The Super Bowl is still more than a week away, and I’m not falling in love with taking a chance on Sunday’s Pro Bowl in Orlando. So let’s put aside our football withdrawal and turn our attention to hoops, both pro and college.
Home favorites in the -3 to -6½ range have a record of 12-1 straight up and 11-2 against the spread since 2005. And home teams are 10-0 straight up and 8-2 ATS in conference championship play in the past five years.
On Saturday, take the Colts plus 12½ and the Cowboys plus 14. On Sunday, take the Patriots plus 3 and the Eagles plus 15.
Steve Makinen, editor of VSiN’s Point Spread Weekly, found that the outright winner has a point-spread record of 37-4-1 ATS in the past 42 wild-card playoff games.
Raiders coach Jon Gruden told his team after Monday’s victory over Denver: “Fellas, we’ve got one game left. It’s against the team we hate the most — the Kansas City Chiefs. They hate us, too, so it should be a heckuva game.”
There is one thing I believe in down the stretch: NFL teams that have a chance to make the playoffs are far more attractive to me than teams that are jockeying for home-field advantage.
Few thought Herm Edwards belonged as coach of a college team, including me. But he proved us wrong and restored the pride at Arizona State, which won four of its final five games.
Don’t be misled by Scamdicappers who peddle their picks based on teams being out of the Super Bowl race and having nothing to play for. They will tell you that teams are playing for draft position. This is complete hogwash.
Here are the revised Super Bowl odds at the Westgate. Bet $100 and you win: Rams plus 250; Saints plus 300; Chiefs plus 350; Patriots plus 600; Steelers plus 800.
For a handicapper, the last six weeks of an NFL season are tougher to solve than a Rubik’s Cube. And remember, it’s estimated that only 5.8 percent of the world’s population can solve the Rubik’s Cube.
The two key offensive players in this “Monday Night Football” showdown are Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes and Rams running back Todd Gurley.
By scoring 52 points Thursday against Carolina, the Steelers climbed into AFC elite status with defending conference champion New England and 8-1 Kansas City.
A once promising return to the sideline turned into a nightmare Thursday night in Santa Clara against a 49ers team that already had lost twice to lowly Arizona.
The Chiefs have covered 11 straight regular-season games. This is a team capable of making a Super Bowl run. But 9½ or 10 points are a huge handicap in the betting world.