Fortune favors the well-prepared in the Breeders’ Cup

Updated October 12, 2017 - 7:23 pm

Only three weeks until the creme de la turf meets the heavenly surf as the Breeders’ Cup visits Del Mar for the first time. In other words, it’s time to get busy.

It’s not a problem waiting until a day or two before a trip to the track or race book to start handicapping, but it’s sheer folly for the Breeders’ Cup. Two days of the most competitive races imaginable featuring top horses from North America and Europe — and sometimes beyond — require a lot more preparation than that.

In the 21 days remaining until first post, here are some tasks to ensure you’re ready to profit on the world championship series on Nov. 3 and 4.

— Buy an advance handicapping package from your favorite data provider and start getting a sense of the “shape” of each race. In other words, look at whether there is an abundance of speed horses or lack thereof in each contest. The picture might change before race day because of scratches or post position draws, but having a general sense of each race will inform other research you do.

— Watch lots of video. The beauty of the Breeders’ Cup is that almost every prep is a stakes race and likely available via YouTube. If not, you can purchase a video replay package from your favorite data provider for less than arm+leg. Be sure they offer access to European races if you’re interested in the turf races.

— Take notes. Unless you have a photographic memory, you will benefit from some sort of system to organize your observations. As you watch video or read the charts on likely entrants in a given race, record visual observations, trouble during a race, pace scenarios, track condition, strong winds and any other factor that strikes you as significant. Look at pedigrees, connections (the trainer-jockey relationship), successful prior training maneuvers, etc. Then do it again a few days later and write down anything that you didn’t notice before. You’ll be surprised how much your opinion can shift over time and the lightning bolts that only hit you after multiple reviews.

I’ll be devoting my next few columns to the Breeders’ Cup to keep you informed on the latest developments. We’re also planning a special expert handicapping panel Nov. 2 to provide last-minute thoughts for your consideration. I’ll have details on that next week.

#RJhorseracing featured races

Let’s continue to sharpen our skills with this week’s #RJhorseracing featured races, Saturday’s eighth and ninth races at Keeneland — a $100,000 sprint allowance/optional claiming race for 3-year-old fillies and the Queen Elizabeth Challenge Cup (G1), a 1 1/8-mile turf test for 3-year-old fillies.

Both races look like good wagering opportunities, if our handicappers’ picks are any indication.

In the eighth race, our ’capping crew made Mythical Tale (6-1 on the morning line) to finish ahead of co-favorites Too Much Tip and Auntjenn, both 4-1. I’m taking a flyer in this speed-laden race with Nineteenth Street (15-1), hoping she can rate and improves in her second start off a layoff.

In the marquee event, the $500,000 QEII, our gang gives the nod to familiar face Uni (9-2) over Wuheida and New Money Honey, both 4-1.

Reader Robert Ranfone gets the mints this week with his pithy summation of her attributes: “Good Beyers; 6 of 7 this yr; (top) trainer/jock.”

I’ll throw my lot in with her stablemate, New Money Honey, a Grade 1 winner last time she stepped onto the lawn.

We’d love to have you join the fun next week. Either email me to receive an alert when I post past performances on Wednesday or follow me on Twitter to get in on the action.

Also, a big shout-out to Ellis Starr, Equibase’s national handicapper, for his pick of Suedois ($21.40) in the Shadwell Mile, one of last week’s featured races at Keeneland. That’s another good reason to read this column online, as his analysis sometimes doesn’t make it into print for space reasons.

Contact Mike Brunker at mbrunker@reviewjournal.com or 702-383-4656. Follow @mike_brunker on Twitter.

ad-high_impact_4
Sports Betting Spotlight Videos
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Playoffs
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and CG Technology Sports book director Matt Holt go over their picks for the NFL playoffs.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL divisional playoffs
Review-Journal sports betting columnist Todd Dewey, handicapper Kelly Stewart and CG Technology sports book vice president Matt Holt preview the NFL divisional playoffs.
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Football National Championship
Review-Journal sports betting columnist Todd Dewey, handicapper Kelly Stewart and CG Technology sports book vice president Matt Holt preview Monday’s college football national championship.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Wild Card playoffs
Review-Journal sports betting columnist Todd Dewey, handicapper Kelly Stewart and CG Technology sports book vice president Matt Holt preview the NFL’s Wild Card playoff weekend.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 17
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and Matt Holt go over their picks for week 17 of the NFL.
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Bowls Week Three
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and Matt Holt go over their picks for week three of the college bowl games.
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Bowls Week 2
Review-Journal reporter Todd Dewey, handicapper Bernie Fratto and The Mirage sports book director Jeff Stoneback preview the college football bowls.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 16
Review-Journal reporter Todd Dewey, handicapper Bernie Fratto and The Mirage sports book director Jeff Stoneback preview Week 16 of the NFL season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Football Bowl Edition
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and Las Vegas Wynn Sports Book Director Johnny Avello go over their picks for the college bowl games.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 15
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and Las Vegas Wynn Sports Book Director Johnny Avello go over their picks for week 15 of NFL football.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 14
Review-Journal reporter Todd Dewey, handicapper Kelly Stewart and TI sports book director Tony Nevill preview NFL Week 14.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 13
Review-Journal reporter Todd Dewey, handicapper Kelly Stewart and The Mirage sports book director Jeff Stoneback preview Week 13 of the NFL regular season. (Las Vegas Review-Journal)
Sports Betting Spotlight: College football Week 14
Review-Journal reporter Todd Dewey, handicapper Kelly Stewart and The Mirage sports book director Jeff Stoneback preview Week 14 of the college football season. (Las Vegas Review-Journal)
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Week 13
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and Matt Holt give their picks for week 13 of college football.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 12
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and Matt Holt give their picks for week 12 of NFL football.
Sports Betting Spotlight: College football Week 12
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and Bob Scucci go over their picks for college football week 12.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 11
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and Bob Scucci go over their picks for NFL football week 11.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 10
Review-Journal reporter Todd Dewey, handicapper Kelly Stewart and CG Technology Sports Book Vice President Matt Holt preview Week 10 of the NFL.
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Football Week 11
Review-Journal reporter Todd Dewey, handicapper Kelly Stewart and CG Technology Sports Book Vice President Matt Holt preview Week 11 of the college football season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Football Week 10
Review-Journal reporter Todd Dewey, handicapper Kelly Stewart and Boyd Gaming Sports Book Director Bob Scucci preview Week 10 of the college football season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 9
Review-Journal reporter Todd Dewey, handicapper Kelly Stewart and Boyd Gaming Sports Book Director Bob Scucci preview Week 9 of the NFL season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 8
Review-Journal reporter Todd Dewey, handicapper Kelly Stewart and The Mirage sports book director Jeff Stoneback preview Week 8 of the NFL season.
TOP NEWS
News Headlines
ad-infeed_1
ads_infeed_2
Local Spotlight
Events
Home Front Page Footer Listing
Circular
You May Like

You May Like