Kyle Freeland, Rockies surprisingly strong ‘under’ combination

Updated July 13, 2017 - 7:21 pm

Along with Aaron Judge, Cody Bellinger and the Milwaukee Brewers, the Colorado Rockies have been one of baseball’s biggest surprises this season.

Not so much that the Rockies (52-39) are on pace to claim a wild-card playoff spot but that — despite playing at Coors Field, the game’s pre-eminent launching pad — they’re the second-best under team in baseball and feature the best under pitcher in rookie Kyle Freeland.

Colorado has gone under the total in 10 of its past 12 games (10-1-1), including six of seven at home, and is 50-35-6 (58.8 percent) to the under overall, trailing only the Cleveland Indians (50-31-6, 61.7 percent).

“Their starting pitching has been solid most of the year, and Greg Holland has had the most amazing year as their closer,” handicapper Micah Roberts said. “If they get him the lead, it’s pretty much over.”

Freeland (9-7, 3.77 ERA), who was born and raised in Denver, had a no-hitter broken up with one out in the ninth inning of Sunday’s 10-0 win over the White Sox at Coors Field. The total was 12. The Rockies have gone under in 14 of his 18 starts (14-2-2) and won 11 of them.

“He’s not affected by the altitude,” said Roberts (Sportsline.com). “He’s been dealing with this stuff his whole life. It’s no big deal to him.”

Colorado, which has lost 13 of its past 18 after a 47-26 start, also is 11-4 under the total in Tyler Chatwood’s starts.

Strange as it sounds, you might want to wait until the Rockies return to Coors Field before looking to play the under. Colorado opens the second half of the season Friday at New York’s Citi Field against the Mets, who are baseball’s best over team (49-27-10, 64.5 percent).

“(The Mets’) bullpen’s terrible, their starting pitching’s terrible and their bats have been good,” Roberts said. “Their totals have been a half-run low. I don’t think the line’s been adjusted enough on them. This is not last year’s Mets.”

Pirates plunder under cash

The Pirates are on a 19-6-2 under run, and Roberts likes that trend to continue in Pittsburgh’s series against the Cardinals from Friday through Sunday at PNC Park. Gerrit Cole is scheduled to start the opener (8u-Even) against Mike Leake and has gone under in 13 of his 18 starts.

“The Pirates have good starting pitching, their bullpen’s OK and they can’t hit,” Roberts said.

Seven of the past 10 meetings between the teams have gone under, including four of six this season, when St. Louis won each of the first three matchups 2-1.

Cardinals, Giants ready to rise

Roberts tabbed the Cardinals (43-45) and Giants (34-56) as two teams to bet on the rest of the season.

“The Cardinals have a really good starting rotation (Leake, Carlos Martinez, Adam Wainwright, Lance Lynn, Michael Wacha) and should not have a losing record,” he said. “I like their manager, Mike Matheny, and the Cardinals’ brand of baseball. They’re going to start hitting.

“The Giants are a team I look at to be improved. They’ll have such a low rating on them because of their poor play that there’s going to be value on them coming up here. They’re hitting a lot better, and they’re getting (Madison) Bumgarner back. Even if they go .500 the rest of the way, they’ll be a ’dog so many times, they’ll show a profit.”

Hitting a Royal

Based on recent history, it’s unlikely that all six division leaders at the All-Star break will end up winning their divisions. Roberts expects the Cubs (43-45) to erase their 5 1/2-game deficit to the Brewers (50-41) to win the National League Central and also likes the Royals (44-43) to overcome their three-game deficit to the Indians (47-40) to win the American League Central.

After acquiring starting pitcher Jose Quintana from the White Sox on Thursday, the Cubs were bumped up from a minus-110 favorite to win their division to minus-125. The Brewers are 3-2 and the Cardinals 7-1.

Kansas City, which has gone 34-23 since a 10-20 start, is a 5-1 underdog to win its division, and Cleveland is a minus-550 favorite.

“I do like the Royals to step up,” Roberts said. “They were losing because they were averaging 2.9 runs per game, but their offense the last month has been the best in the division. They already had good pitching.”

Contact reporter Todd Dewey at tdewey@reviewjournal.com or 702-383-0354. Follow @tdewey33 on Twitter.

ad-high_impact_4
Sports Betting Spotlight Videos
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL divisional playoffs
Review-Journal sports betting columnist Todd Dewey, handicapper Kelly Stewart and CG Technology sports book vice president Matt Holt preview the NFL divisional playoffs.
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Football National Championship
Review-Journal sports betting columnist Todd Dewey, handicapper Kelly Stewart and CG Technology sports book vice president Matt Holt preview Monday’s college football national championship.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Wild Card playoffs
Review-Journal sports betting columnist Todd Dewey, handicapper Kelly Stewart and CG Technology sports book vice president Matt Holt preview the NFL’s Wild Card playoff weekend.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 17
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and Matt Holt go over their picks for week 17 of the NFL.
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Bowls Week Three
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and Matt Holt go over their picks for week three of the college bowl games.
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Bowls Week 2
Review-Journal reporter Todd Dewey, handicapper Bernie Fratto and The Mirage sports book director Jeff Stoneback preview the college football bowls.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 16
Review-Journal reporter Todd Dewey, handicapper Bernie Fratto and The Mirage sports book director Jeff Stoneback preview Week 16 of the NFL season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Football Bowl Edition
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and Las Vegas Wynn Sports Book Director Johnny Avello go over their picks for the college bowl games.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 15
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and Las Vegas Wynn Sports Book Director Johnny Avello go over their picks for week 15 of NFL football.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 14
Review-Journal reporter Todd Dewey, handicapper Kelly Stewart and TI sports book director Tony Nevill preview NFL Week 14.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 13
Review-Journal reporter Todd Dewey, handicapper Kelly Stewart and The Mirage sports book director Jeff Stoneback preview Week 13 of the NFL regular season. (Las Vegas Review-Journal)
Sports Betting Spotlight: College football Week 14
Review-Journal reporter Todd Dewey, handicapper Kelly Stewart and The Mirage sports book director Jeff Stoneback preview Week 14 of the college football season. (Las Vegas Review-Journal)
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Week 13
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and Matt Holt give their picks for week 13 of college football.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 12
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and Matt Holt give their picks for week 12 of NFL football.
Sports Betting Spotlight: College football Week 12
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and Bob Scucci go over their picks for college football week 12.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 11
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and Bob Scucci go over their picks for NFL football week 11.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 10
Review-Journal reporter Todd Dewey, handicapper Kelly Stewart and CG Technology Sports Book Vice President Matt Holt preview Week 10 of the NFL.
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Football Week 11
Review-Journal reporter Todd Dewey, handicapper Kelly Stewart and CG Technology Sports Book Vice President Matt Holt preview Week 11 of the college football season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Football Week 10
Review-Journal reporter Todd Dewey, handicapper Kelly Stewart and Boyd Gaming Sports Book Director Bob Scucci preview Week 10 of the college football season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 9
Review-Journal reporter Todd Dewey, handicapper Kelly Stewart and Boyd Gaming Sports Book Director Bob Scucci preview Week 9 of the NFL season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 8
Review-Journal reporter Todd Dewey, handicapper Kelly Stewart and The Mirage sports book director Jeff Stoneback preview Week 8 of the NFL season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 7
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and Alan Berg go over their picks for NFL week 7.
TOP NEWS
News Headlines
ad-infeed_1
ads_infeed_2
Local Spotlight
Events
Home Front Page Footer Listing
Circular
You May Like

You May Like