Poll puts Tarkanian ahead of Rosen in the 3rd Congressional District race

Republican Danny Tarkanian has a 12-point lead over Democratic opponent Jacky Rosen in the 3rd Congressional District race, according to a poll The Tarrance Group conducted for his campaign.

The poll of 412 registered voters in the district found that 46 percent of voters favored Tarkanian, while 34 percent favored Rosen. The poll also included two third-party candidates, who both polled at below 5 percent.

The Tarrance Group, of Alexandria, Virginia, is Republican survey research and strategy group.

The poll also found Tarkanian has 81 percent support among Republican voters, while Rosen has 68 percent support among Democratic voters. The poll also found that 55 percent of Democratic voters had never heard of her yet.

The conclusion is that Tarkanian enters the final weeks in a “strong position to win in November while his opponent still needs to define herself to the vast majority of the electorate,” pollsters Ed Goeas and Brian Nienaber wrote in a memo.

In a statement, Rosen campaign manager David Furr dismissed the poll, pointing that a different poll was wrong in 2012 and showed Tarkanian in the lead when he ran and lost in the 4th Congressional District.

The poll was conducted in August with surveys of 412 registered voters, using a slightly higher proportion of Democratic voters than are registered in the district. Voter registration figures show 38 percent of voters are Democratic, 36 percent are Republican and 22 percent are independent or third party.

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