# Sleeping with your money makes no sense in end game

On Jan. 12, I was talking to a friend named Henri about a royal flush he hit the day before. He felt his \$1,000 jackpots have been few and far between so he was quite happy.

“I played another half hour or so after the royal and went on home,” he told me. “I didn’t want to risk giving it back. I wanted to hang on to it for at least one day.”

Henri’s reaction wasn’t unusual, I suppose, but to me it’s pure nonsense. Henri lives in Las Vegas and plays for quarters at least 300 days a year. He’s smart enough and knowledgeable enough that he’s a big favorite to be ahead at the end of the year.

Let’s say he ends up ahead \$5,800 at the end of the year. This is a reasonable expectation for him considering the games he plays, the amount he plays, and how much skill he has. (Luck while playing has very little to do with it. He’ll play more than 1,000 hours this year and luck will pretty well average out. His end-of-the-year score will fairly represent what he deserves.)

Henri is basically retired and plays video poker for recreation, although he really wants to win. So long as his score isn’t too far negative, he can play video poker for as long as he’s alive. And he has the skill to be ahead most years.

Does it matter at all whether he was ahead \$920 on Jan. 11 and behind \$60 on Jan. 12 compared to being ahead \$815 on Jan. 11 and ahead \$45 on Jan. 12?

According to my calculations, they both add up to \$860 ahead over the two days. It’s the end-of-the-year scores that are relatively important. The end-of-the-day scores aren’t important at all.

His decision variables on both Jan. 11 and 12 remained the same. He plays on point multiplier days when he can and keeps up enough play at about eight casinos so he gets regular free play.

He’d decided beforehand that he needed to play about eight hours over the two days to keep up his mailers. He knows from personal experience that he’s able to stay sharp playing four hours a day, but he sometimes starts making mistakes if he plays longer than that.

He hit the royal after about an hour of play on Jan. 11. Since he quit after another half hour, this will leave 6.5 hours to play on Jan. 12. Will this be too long so he’ll make mistakes? Who knows for sure this time, but over time this will cost him as he tends to make mistakes with longer sessions.

If he had a headache or was otherwise feeling poorly, cutting his Jan. 11 session short would make some sense. But his reason was that he wanted the money in his pocket for 24 hours.

Was he going to spread it on his bed and wallow in it? I certainly don’t know. But if so, it’s probably time his friends help him find a girlfriend.

If this gives him psychic pleasure, it’s fine with me. Henri is a friend and whatever makes him happy is OK in my book. But if he thinks this is going to help him have a better score at the end of the year he is dead wrong.

Games should be chosen based on pay schedule, slot club, promotions and personal idiosyncrasies, such as only being able to play four hours a day accurately. Assuming you are playing for comfortable stakes, whether you are ahead or behind so far today should have no bearing on when you quit.

Instead of Henri’s exact circumstances, let’s say he hit the same royal but was only going to play 30 hours this year because he lived out of town and didn’t get to play in casinos very frequently. In those circumstances, would Henri’s “quit while you’re ahead” strategy made any more sense?

No it wouldn’t. Assuming the Jan. 11 conditions were typical for him, all “hours in the future” are equal. Whether he played an extra two hours on Jan. 11 and two hours less on Jan. 12 or vice versa would make no difference.

Going home to sleep with your money has no intelligent mathematical reason behind it whatsoever. But at the same time, quitting early has no mathematical penalty behind it either. If one way or the other “floats your boat,” go ahead and indulge. But don’t pretend you are being smart for doing so.

Bob Dancer teaches free video poker classes. Check out www.bobdancer.com for the current schedule of classes.

News
NSPCA Gets Kittens From LA
Las Vegas police are looking for two men involved in the shooting death of a man outside a 7-Eleven story at Bonanza Road and Maryland Parkway on Nov. 12, 2018. (Las Vegas Metropolitan Police Department)
VA Southern Nevada Healthcare System hosts Veterans Day Car Show and BBQ
The 4th Annual Veterans Day Car Show and BBQ is held in celebration of Veterans Day at the VA Southern Nevada Healthcare System Medical Center in North Las Vegas, Saturday, Nov. 10, 2018. (Caroline Brehman/Las Vegas Review-Journal)
Wildfires in Southern California
Wildfires hit Ventura County, Calif., on Nov. 9, 2018. (Richard Brian/Las Vegas Review-Journal)
Dedication of Nevada's Battle Born memorial
The state of Nevada on Friday dedicated its Battle Born memorial honoring 895 state residents who have died in America’s wars.
Las Vegas police and Sunrise Children's Hospital hope to prevent infant deaths
The Metropolitan Police Department and Sunrise Children's Hospital held a press conference to get the message out on preventable infant deaths attributed to "co-sleeping" and other unsafe sleeping habits. (K.M. Cannon/Las Vegas Review-Journal)
No serious injuries after car hits tree in south Las Vegas
One person reported minor injuries but wasn’t hospitalized after a Wednesday morning crash in the south valley.
Nellis Air Force Base keeps airmen fed
Nellis Air Force Bass airmen have delicious and healthy food items, and a variety of dining facilities to choose from. (K.M. Cannon/Las Vegas Review-Journal)
Suspicious package found at central Las Vegas post office
Las Vegas police determined that a suspicious package found Monday morning at a central valley post office was not a threat.
Suspicious package found at central Las Vegas post office
Police evacuated the area around the Garside Station post office early Monday morning near Oakey and Decatur boulevards.
With husband's passing, family in limbo for workers' comp claim
Meredith Tracy's husand, Russell Tracy, died more than a year ago on his first day working for a new company when he fell 22 feet into a manhole that was not properly safeguarded. His employer was fined \$82,000 in penalties for unsafe practices, but the company has denied her workers' compensation claim, leaving her with no compensation since the death. Rachel Aston Las Vegas Review-Journal @rookie__rae
With husband's passing, family in limbo for workers' comp claim
Meredith Tracy's husand, Russell Tracy, died more than a year ago on his first day working for a new company when he fell 22 feet into a manhole that was not properly safeguarded. His employer was fined \$82,000 in penalties for unsafe practices, but the company has denied her workers' compensation claim, leaving her with no compensation since the death. Rachel Aston Las Vegas Review-Journal @rookie__rae
Las Vegas family shares flu warning
Carlo and Brenda Occhipinti lost their son, Carlo Jr., or “Junior,” to the flu last year.
Author Randall Cannon shares an anecdote about Dan Blocker, who played Hoss Cartwright on the TV show "Bonanza," and the actor's passion for auto racing at Stardust International Raceway in Las Vegas during the 1960s. (Ron Kantowski/Las Vegas Review-Journal.)
Project Neon 85 percent complete
On Wednesday morning Oct. 31, Interstate 15 northbound lane restrictions were removed opening up Exit 41 to Charleston Blvd. On Thursday Nov. 1, Interstate 15 southbound lane restrictions were removed. The new southbound off-ramp to Sahara Ave. and Highland Dr. also opened Thursday, November 1. With Project Neon 85% finished the flow of traffic on Interstate 15 has substantially diminished. (Michael Quine/Las Vegas Review-Journal)
Girl killed after jumping from bridge onto 215 Beltway in Henderson
Eastbound lanes of the 215 Beltway are shut down by the Nevada Highway Patrol after a female juvenile jumped from the 215 overpass at Stephanie and was struck by a FedEx tractor trailer. Michael Quine/Las Vegas Review-Journal @Vegas88s
Kristallnacht story
An interview with 94-year-old Holocaust survivor Alexander Kuechel who survived seven concentration camps and didn’t leave Germany until after World War II was over. (Mia Sims/Las Vegas Review-Journal)
1 dead in central Las Vegas crash
An early Wednesday morning crash left at least one person dead and another injured. The crash was reported just around 3 a.m. at the intersection of Flamingo Road and Swenson Street. At least two vehicles were involved in the crash, one of which caught fire. Debris was scattered across the intersection as police combed the area as they investigated the scene. Flamingo is blocked in both directions between Swenson and Cambridge Street. Northbound Swenson is blocked at the intersection.
Richard Knoeppel named the 2018 Nevada Teacher of the Year
Richard Knoeppel, an architecture design instructor at the Advanced technologies Academy, named the 2018 Nevada Teacher of the Year on Monday, Oct. 29, 2018. (Bizuayehu Tesfaye/Las Vegas Review-Journal) @bizutesfaye
Mojave Poppy Bees
(Zach Portman/University of Minnesota Department of Entomology) Male Mojave poppy bees exhibit territorial fighting behavior. The Center for Biological Diversity wants the bee, found only in Clark County, to be added to the endangered species list.
Clark County Schools announce random searches
Clark County School District middle and high school students will be subject to random searches for weapons under a new initiative to combat the wave of guns found on campus. (Amelia Pak-Harvey/Las Vegas Review-Journal)
Ron Jeremy and Heidi Fleiss React to Dennis Hof's Death
Ron Jeremy and Heidi Fleiss speak about their friend and prominent brothel owner Dennis Hof's death at Dennis Hof's Love Ranch. (Benjamin Hager/Las Vegas Review-Journal)
Nevada brothel owner Dennis Hof has died
Nevada brothel owner and Republican candidate for Nevada State Assembly District 36, Dennis Hof has died. He was 72. Nye County Sherriff's office confirmed. Hof owned Love Ranch brothel, located in Crystal, Nevada.
Las Vegas police investigate suspicious package at shopping center
Las Vegas police evacuated a southeast valley shopping center at Flamingo and Sandhill roads early Tuesday morning while they investigated reports of a suspicious package. (Max Michor/Las Vegas Review-Journal)
The Las Vegas Metro hosts the K-9 Trials
The Las Vegas Metro K-9 Trials returns to the Orleans Arena to benefit the Friends For Las Vegas Police K-9 group.
Kingman residents love their little town
Residents of Kingman, Ariz. talk about how they ended up living in the Route 66 town, and what they love about their quiet community. (K.M. Cannon/Las Vegas Review-Journal)
Service at Southern Nevada Veterans Memorial Cemetery
Twelve unclaimed veterans are honored at Southern Nevada Veterans Memorial Cemetery in Boulder City in Oct. 9, 2018. (Briana Erickson/Las Vegas Review-Journal)
Las Vegas house prices reach highest level in 11 years
Las Vegas house prices are rising But so is the amount of available homes on the market Still, properties priced below \$300,000 are selling fast And September was the first time since June 2007 that the median house price reached the \$300,000 mark Las Vegas home prices have been rising at one of the fastest rates in the country over the past year Recent data show the market is now less affordable than the national average
National Night Out
About 100 Summerlin residents gathered at Park Centre Dr. in Summerlin on Tuesday for National Night Out. Lt. Joshua Bitsko with Las Vegas Metro, played with 3-year-old David who was dressed as a police officer. Face painting, fire truck tours and more kept kids busy as parents roamed behind them. (Mia Sims/Las Vegas Review-Journal)
Rural homeless issue comes to a head in Pahrump
On Sept. 12, Pahrump sheriff deputies told residents of a homeless encampment on private property that they had 15 minutes to vacate and grab their belongings. That decision might face some legal consequences. (Rachel Aston/Las Vegas Review-Journal)
More in News
TOP NEWS