For Vegas Kings founder and professional sports handicapper Philip Milan, making predictions is a highly developed skill so much so that it’s nearly an exact science. It’s not about algorithms, but instead, it requires a keen sense to read the numbers and interpret what lies between the lines—every factor matters, including the significant one Milan cannot predict: injuries.
“Injuries can happen,” says Milan. “Trying to predict when an injury is going to happen, it’s impossible. You never know. That’s part of the game that you cannot analyze or handicap.”
While Milan would cite injuries as one of the most inconsistent aspects of his line of work, it’s undeniably one of the most influential on game outcomes. Evaluating the consequences of a sports injury is a complex process that takes into account various factors, such as the injured player’s identity, the injury’s location and the injury’s severity.
Considering the potential for injuries, placing a wager on a sporting event can feel even more precarious. However, Milan offers a strategy to help his clients protect themselves from major losses that result from an injured player.
“A good starting bankroll is vital and managing it will be critical to your long-term success,” advises Milan. Although sports wagering is an inherently risky business, Milan emphasizes that there’s a lot you can do to minimize that risk. Investing in quality insights from experts like his team at Vegas Kings is one approach. Being mindful of a certain margin of error– especially where injuries are concerned– is another.
“You can’t go that big on every game, or you should have some bankroll management because injuries are part of the game,” Milan recommends. “You have to grind it out more slowly because of those injuries. These are humans playing the game despite what the numbers are saying: Mistakes do happen.”
It’s easy to forget that players are people, and doing so can lead them astray, with some going so far as to wager everything they have on a single event. As far as Milan is concerned, this move is the kiss of death. Instead, he encourages his clients– and anyone else interested in sports wagering– to exercise an abundance of caution.
“You never want to wager what you can’t afford to lose or go all-in on one specific game, no matter how confident you are, as injuries happen and can turn a winning wager into a losing one.”
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