Based on a parlay of each team’s conference futures at BetMGM — where the Bucs are +210 favorites to win the NFC and the Pats are the +450 third pick to win the AFC — the odds are 16-1 that the matchup happens.
NFL
Circa sportsbook took sharp money on the Raiders-Cowboys and Bills-Saints games, and the South Point took sharp action on the Bears-Lions matchup.
In the first seven weeks of the season, there were only two outright upsets by underdogs of seven points or more. But there have been nine such upsets in the last four weeks.
Dallas Cowboys coach Mike McCarthy, the 6-1 third choice, and New England Patriots coach Bill Belichick, the +850 fourth pick, are the two biggest liabilities at Circa Sports.
After 248 contestants selected the Steelers before the 3 p.m. Saturday deadline, Ben Roethlisberger was placed on the COVID list for Sunday’s game against the Lions.
Not even halfway through the 20-week Circa Survivor NFL contest, 83 percent of the field has been eliminated in the quest for the $6 million prize.
Underdogs went 9-3 ATS with seven outright wins, including upsets by the Jaguars (+16) over the Bills and Broncos (+10) over the Cowboys.
There are six teams with odds of 10-1 or less to win the Super Bowl. The Bills are the clear betting favorites to win it all. But the NFC is a 2-point favorite over the AFC in the early Super Bowl line.