NFL Week 14 betting breakdown

Kelly Stewart, Kellyinvegas.com, @kellyinvegas

Colts (3-9) at Bills (6-6)

Time: 10 a.m.

Line/Total: Off

Analysis: With Buffalo quarterback Tyrod Taylor day to day, the thought of backing Nathan Peterman is pretty scary, especially if I’m laying points. The Bills are chasing the Jaguars and Ravens for an AFC wild-card spot. Indianapolis quarterback Jacoby Brissett has been sacked 47 times in 11 starts and might have a rough Sunday if the Colts are forced to start their third-string center.

By the numbers: Indianapolis is 4-12-1 ATS in its past 17 games at Buffalo. … The favorite is 5-2-1 in the past eight meetings. … The Colts are on a 27-11 over run on the road, and the Bills are on a 16-5 over uptick at home.

Pick: Bills, 24-21

Vikings (10-2) at Panthers (8-4)

Time: 10 a.m.

Line/Total: Vikings -2½, 39½

Analysis: Coach Mike Zimmer and the Vikings have been on an incredible against the spread run, going 40-15 ATS in their past 55 games. Hence my eagerness to bet them laying 2½ points on the road. Case Keenum has proven his worth under center, and Minnesota’s defense is firing on all cylinders. While you are paying a premium to bet the Vikings, they’ll still get the job done in Carolina.

By the numbers: The Vikings have covered seven straight games and are 9-3 ATS this season. … Minnesota is on a 36-17 ATS run vs. the NFC.

Pick: Vikings, 21-17

Bears (3-9) at Bengals (5-7)

Time: 10 a.m.

Line/Total: Bengals -6½, 38½

Analysis: The Bengals are off a hard-fought game with the Steelers. They blew a 17-point lead over Pittsburgh on Monday night and lost on a last-second field goal. I love fading teams the week after a big rivalry game. The Bears are coming off a five-game slide, including an ugly loss to San Francisco at home last week. Chicago’s stock is low, which means it might be time to buy.

By the numbers: The Bengals are 1-7 ATS as favorites after facing the Steelers. … The under is 7-3 in Chicago’s past 10 games as an underdog.

Pick: Bengals, 17-14

Packers (6-6) at Browns (0-12)

Time: 10 a.m.

Line/Total: Packers -3, 39½

Analysis: My immediate thought on this one: trap game. The Packers and Brett Hundley showed promise in last week’s overtime home win over the Buccaneers, but now they’re headed to Cleveland, a team that’s desperately trying to avoid an 0-16 season. The Browns finally covered a game last week as 13½-point underdogs in a 19-10 loss to the Chargers. With Josh Gordon back in the lineup, look for them to finally get a win.

By the numbers: Cleveland has gone under in 10 of its past 11 home games and is on a 36-12-3 under run in December.

Pick: Browns, 21-20

49ers (2-10) at Texans (4-8)

Time: 10 a.m.

Line/Total: Texans -3, 44½

Analysis: The 49ers are looking for their second straight road win after Jimmy Garoppolo led them to a 15-14 victory in Chicago last week in his debut as starting quarterback. He wins the quarterback matchup over Tom Savage, who averages two turnovers per game. The Texans are riddled with injuries on both sides of the ball, but I’m still not backing San Francisco getting less than a field goal on the road.

By the numbers: San Francisco is 2-14 in its past 16 road games. … Houston is on a 20-8 under run in December.

Pick: Texans, 24-21

Raiders (6-6) at Chiefs (6-6)

Time: 10 a.m., KLAS-8

Line/Total: Chiefs -4, 48½

Analysis: Poor Chiefs fans have taken a beating lately. Kansas City has dropped six of its past seven games after a 5-0 start. This is a revenge game for the Chiefs after the Raiders were gifted a win in the Black Hole in October. Oakland hasn’t swept the season series since 2012. Look for Kansas City to take advantage of a bad Oakland defense and bounce back.

By the numbers: The Chiefs are 7-1 ATS in their past eight games vs. the AFC West. … The road team is 21-8 ATS in the past 29 meetings. … The under is 8-1 in the past nine meetings in Kansas City and is 41-19 in the Chiefs’ past 60 home games.

Pick: Chiefs, 31-21

Lions (6-5) at Buccaneers (6-5)

Time: 10 a.m.

Line/Total: Off

Analysis: Waiting to get a number on this one because of Matthew Stafford’s hand injury. Sounds as if he will be a go after being upgraded Friday to questionable. The Lions are two games back in the race for a wild-card spot. Tampa Bay is 2-8-1 ATS in its past 11 games, and neither of those two covers belong to Jameis Winston.

By the numbers: Detroit has covered five straight at Tampa Bay and is 9-2 ATS in the past 11 meetings. … The underdog is 8-3 ATS in the past 11 meetings.

Pick: Lions, 24-16

Cowboys (6-6) at Giants (2-10)

Time: 10 a.m., KVVU-5

Line/Total: Cowboys -4, 41½

Analysis: The Cowboys have covered one of their past six games against the Giants, but this isn’t the New York team we’ve seen in the past. I’m not sure it matters who’s coaching or playing quarterback for the Giants because they have no weapons and a bad offensive line.

By the numbers: Dallas is on a 16-6 under run on the road, and the Giants are on a 7-2 under run at home. … The over is 12-5 in the past 17 meetings.

Pick: Cowboys, 31-10

Titans (8-4) at Cardinals (5-7)

Time: 1:05 p.m.

Line/Total: Titans -3, 43

Analysis: The season can’t end soon enough for the Cardinals. Injuries across the board have ruined any chance of making the playoffs two years after advancing to the NFC title game. But road games have not been friendly to Marcus Mariota and the Titans. The Tennessee quarterback has thrown nine of his 12 interceptions on the road this season and only three touchdowns.

By the numbers: Tennessee is on a 1-4 ATS skid on the road. … The Titans are 7-19 ATS in their past 26 road games.

Pick: Cardinals, 14-13

Jets (5-7) at Broncos (3-9)

Time: 1:05 p.m.

Line/Total: Jets -1, 41½

Analysis: The Jets knocked off Kansas City as 4½-point home underdogs last week and are now suddenly laying a point on the road? Not so fast. The Broncos are in a world of hurt, and everyone knows that. Denver has lost eight straight, it doesn’t have a competent quarterback, and it’s coming off an embarrassing 26-point loss to the Dolphins. This is the Broncos’ first home game in three weeks and a chance to avoid their worst losing streak in almost 50 years.

By the numbers: Denver is 13-6 in its past 19 home games. … The Jets are on a 3-8-1 ATS slide on grass.

Pick: Broncos, 21-17

Redskins (5-7) at Chargers (6-6)

Time: 1:05 p.m.

Line/Total: Chargers -6, 46

Analysis: The Chargers had no business being almost two-touchdown favorites at home last week over the Browns. This week, they have no business being a touchdown favorite over the rested Redskins. I know Washington looked terrible in its 38-14 loss to the Cowboys, but don’t be surprised to see Kirk Cousins limit his mistakes and get the win.

By the numbers: The Chargers are on a 2-8 ATS slide at home. … The over is 25-8 in the Redskins’ past 33 games and 19-7 in their past 26 road games.

Pick: Redskins, 24-21

Seahawks (8-4) at Jaguars (8-4)

Time: 1:25 p.m.

Line/Total: Jaguars -2½, 40

Analysis: The old adage about West Coast teams traveling East might be the right look here. Seattle is off a big home win over the Eagles and now it’s a 2½-point underdog at Jacksonville? The Jaguars have vastly improved this season under coach Doug Marrone, and this is their chance to prove they’re for real. The Seahawks have no ground attack and an average offensive line.

By the numbers: Jacksonville has won four of its past five home games. … The Seahawks are on a 2-5-1 ATS skid on grass. … The under is 14-5 in Seattle’s past 19 games in December.

Pick: Jaguars, 24-19

Eagles (10-2) at Rams (9-3)

Time: 1:25 p.m., KVVU-5

Line/Total: Rams -1, 47

Analysis: The Eagles were handed their second loss of the season Sunday by the Seahawks. Now that they’re a little more down to earth, I would consider playing them in this spot. Philadelphia took a page out of Bill Belichick’s playbook and stayed on the West Coast all week. Jared Goff is playing great football, with 11 TDs and two interceptions in his past five games. The Eagles defense will be the difference here.

By the numbers: Philadelphia is 8-1 ATS in its past nine games and 6-1 ATS in its past seven games against the Rams. … The over is 14-4 in the Eagles’ past 18 road games.

Pick: Eagles, 27-24

Ravens (7-5) at Steelers (10-2)

Time: 5:30 p.m., KSNV-3

Line/Total: Steelers -5, 43½

Analysis: The Ravens have been gaining momentum while winning four of their past five games, including shutouts of Green Bay and Miami. The Steelers are coming off a comeback win over the Bengals and have the Patriots on deck. While Baltimore isn’t flashy or even fun to watch at times, this should be a classic at Heinz Field.

By the numbers: The Ravens are 10-2 ATS in their past 12 games vs. the AFC North and 6-1-1 ATS in their past eight divisional road games. … The under is 19-8 in Pittsburgh’s past 27 games vs. the AFC and 13-5-1 vs. the AFC North.

Pick: Steelers, 24-21

Patriots (10-2) at Dolphins (5-7)

Time: 5:30 p.m. Monday, ESPN

Line/Total: Patriots -11, 47.5

Analysis: If you’ve been betting the Patriots, you’ve been laying a premium with them for five weeks and it’s been paying off. But it’s time for the books to make some money back. The Dolphins are coming off a blowout of a bad Denver team and are getting no respect for it with this line. With the Steelers on deck, this is a look-ahead spot for the Patriots.

By the numbers: The over is 5-2 in the past seven meetings and 9-2 in Miami’s past 11 home games. … The home team is 10-1 ATS in the past 11 meetings. … The Dolphins are on an 0-8 ATS slide on “Monday Night Football.”

Pick: Patriots, 31-24

ad-high_impact_4
Sports Betting Spotlight Videos
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Football Week 13
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart, and John Lukasik discuss their picks for College Football Week 13
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 12
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart, and John Lukasik discuss their picks for NFL Week 12
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Football Week 12
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart, and John Lukasik discuss their picks for College Football Week 12.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 11
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart, and John Lukasik discuss their picks for NFL Week 11.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 10
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart, and John Lukasik break down the NFL Week 10 slate.
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Week 11
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart, and John Lukasik break down college football week 11 match ups.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 9
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and John Lukasik pick their best bets for week 9 of the NFL football season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Week 10
Description: Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and John Lukasik pick their best bets for week 10 of the college football season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 8
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and John Lukasik pick their best bets for week 8 of the NFL football season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Football Week 9
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and John Lukasik pick their best bets for week 9 of the college football season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Football Week 8
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and John Lukasik pick their best bets for week 8 of the college football season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 7
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and John Lukasik pick their best bets for week 7 of the NFL football season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Football Week 7
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and John Lukasik pick their best bets for week 7 of the college football season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Week 6
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and John Lukasik pick their best bets for week 6 of the college football season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 5
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and John Lukasik pick their best bets for week 5 of the NFL football season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Week 5
Todd Dewey and John Lukasik go over their picks for week five of college football.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 4
Todd Dewey and John Lukasik go over their picks for week four of the NFL.
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Football Week 4
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and The Cromwell sports book director, John Lukasik go over their picks for week four of college football.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 3
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and The Cromwell sports book director, John Lukasik go over their picks for week three of the NFL.
Raiders Videos
Vegas Nation: Raiders fire GM Reggie McKenzie
Raiders beat reporter Michael Gehlken describes what changes may come to the Raiders organization following general manager Reggie McKenzie's release on Monday.
Gruden on GM Reggie McKenzie's firing
Raiders head coach Jon Gruden reacts to Raiders general manger Reggie McKenzie's dismissal on Monday.
Raiders Win Intense Game Against Steelers - Vegas Nation
The Raiders win against the Pittsburgh Steelers 24-21. Raiders beat writer Michael Gehlken and sports columnist Ed Graney go over the Raiders victory.
Vegas Nation: Raiders sign C.J. Anderson
Raiders beat reporter Michael Gehlken lists the multiple players heading to the injured reserve list, the Raiders signing three new players to the active roster, and the new drills the running backs are running in practice.
Raiders vs Steelers Preview - Vegas Nation Mailbag
The Oakland Raiders will face off against the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday. Vegas Nation Mailbag host Elaine Emerson and sports columnist Ed Graney answer all of Raider Nation's burning questions about the upcoming game.
Vegas Nation: Fumbles plague Raiders in loss to Chiefs
Raiders beat reporter Michael Gehlken goes over Sunday's loss to the Kansas City Chiefs, and highlights the uncertainty of many players returning from their injuries.
Vegas Nation: Raiders Fall To The Kansas City Chiefs
Raiders fall to the Kansas City Chiefs 40-33. Vegas Nation host Cassie Soto, Raiders beat writer Michael Gehlken and sports columnist Ed Graney go over the Raiders loss to the chiefs.
Raiders players reflect on their loss to the Chiefs
Oakland Raiders' players Jordy Nelson, Jared Cook and Doug Martin reflect on what went wrong and talk about their performances in the team's loss to the Kansas City Chiefs.
Gruden, Carr on turnovers that cost the Raiders
Head coach Jon Gruden and quarterback Derek Carr spoke about the team's loss to the Chiefs following the game. The Oakland Raiders fell to 2-10 on the season when they lost to the Kansas City Chiefs at home, 40-33.
Vegas Nation: Leon Hall, others could miss game vs. Chiefs
Raiders beat reporter Michael Gehlken goes over the team's final injury report before their game on Sunday against the Kansas City Chiefs.
Raiders Honor Canyon Springs’ Gus McNair as High School Coach of the Year
The Raiders honor Canyon Springs Head Coach Gus McNair as the 2018 Coach of The Year. The Raiders present a check for $1000 to the school and surprise players with the gift of new cleats. (Kenton King/Las Vegas Review-Journal)
Vegas Nation: Kareem Hunt physical altercation video surfaces
Raiders beat reporter Michael Gehlken describes the potential ramifications of the Kareem Hunt video that surfaced on Friday, as well as the Raiders' final injury report before Sunday's game against the Chiefs.
Vegas Nation: Hill poses threat to Townsend, Raiders special teams
Raiders beat reporter Michael Gehlken presents the challenges rookie punter Johnny Townsend could face this Sunday, as he hopes for a bounce back game against one of the most dangerous returners in football: Tyreek Hill.
Vegas Nation Mailbag: Raiders fall to Ravens 34-17
The Raiders fell to 2-9 on the season after losing to the Ravens in Baltimore. Ed Graney and Elaine Emerson discuss the Raiders needs going forward.
Vegas Nation: DeAndre Washington, Raiders promote causes with cleats
Raiders beat reporter Michael Gehlken goes into depth about the NFL's 'My Cause My Cleats" campaign, and the cause running back DeAndre Washington chose for the promotion.
Vegas Nation: Gruden encouraged by rookie tackles
Raiders beat reporter Michael Gehlken examines Sunday's performances of the team's rookie tackles Kolton Miller and Brandon Parker.
Vegas Nation: Raiders Fall To Baltimore Ravens
Raiders beat writer Michael Gehlken and Vegas Nation host Cassie Soto go over the Raiders 34-17 loss to the Baltimore Ravens.
Raiders Players Thanksgiving Dinner Donations
Donald Penn brought the tradition of "spreading the love" for Thanksgiving from Tampa Bay as said by Raiders offensive tackle Kolton Miller. Raiders players were donating turkey dinners to Oakland residents Tuesday night.
Vegas Nation Mailbag: How Will Raiders Perform Against Ravens
Raiders will face the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday and Review-Journal reporter Gilbert Manzano and Elaine Emerson go over what to expect from the game.
Vegas Nation: LaFell moved to IR, Hatcher returns
The Raiders move wide receiver Brandon LaFell to the injured reserve and re-sign preseason standout Keon Hatcher, as Michael Gehlken reports the corresponding moves from Alameda, Calif.
Vegas Nation: Raiders Beat Cardinals 23-21, Earn Second Win of Season
Raiders Kicker Daniel Carlson hit the game winning field goal as time expires to hand the Raiders their first road win of the Season.
Raiders players talk about the team's win over Cardinals
After the team defeated the Arizona Cardinals, 23-21, the Oakland Raiders players spoke about the victory in the locker room.
Gruden, Carr discuss the Raiders 23-21 win
Head coach Jon Gruden and quarterback Derek Carr speak to media after the Oakland Raiders defeat the Arizona Cardinals, 23-21.
Vegas Nation: Nelson, Bryant out vs. Arizona
Raiders beat reporter Michael Gehlken reports that the team will be without wide receivers Jordy Nelson and Martavis Bryant ahead of their game against the Arizona Cardinals on Sunday.
Vegas Nation: Raiders hold indoor walkthrough due to fires
Raiders beat reporter Michael Gehlken reports from smoky Alameda, Calif. as the Raiders move their practice indoors due to the California wildfires.
Las Vegas Raiders Stadium
Las Vegas Raiders Stadium (Raiders)
Vegas Nation: Ateman prepares for NFL debut vs. Cards
Oakland Raiders beat reporter Michael Gehlken explains how Jordy Nelson and Martavis Bryant's injuries could result in seventh round pick Marcell Ateman making his NFL debut this Sunday.
Vegas Nation: Nelson, Bryant injured in loss to Chargers
Raiders beat reporter Michael Gehlken examines the injuries to wide receivers Jordy Nelson and Martavis Bryant.
Raiders Adopt Student Resource Room At Robert Taylor Elementary School In Henderson
Former Raiders player Leo Gray and Robert Taylor Elementary School principal Kim Basham talk about the new resource room at the school on Sept. 25, 2018 in Henderson, Nevada. (Ron Kantowski/Las Vegas Review-Journal)
More information on design of Raiders' practice facility in Henderson
Officials plan to finish the Raiders' Henderson headquarters by spring 2020. The planned facility would be home to offices, training facilities and 4 1/2 football fields.
TOP NEWS
News Headlines
ad-infeed_1
ads_infeed_2
Local Spotlight
Add Event
Home Front Page Footer Listing
Circular
You May Like

You May Like