Stanford looks like winner as home underdog vs. Notre Dame

Updated November 24, 2017 - 6:30 pm

The wrong team is favored for Notre Dame’s trip to Stanford. I made the Cardinal a 4-point favorite, but we can back the home team as a 3-point underdog.

Stanford is unbeaten in five home games this season and has a 39-6 home record during David Shaw’s seven-year tenure as coach. The Cardinal have been a home underdog on Shaw’s watch only three times, winning in each instance, including a 30-22 victory Nov. 10 over Washington.

Going back to its 2007 regular-season finale, Stanford has been a home underdog eight times. The Cardinal have an 8-0 record against the spread in those games with seven outright victories.

Stanford has won four of its past five games. The loss came in a 24-21 decision at Washington State, where star running back Bryce Love was battling an ankle injury. Love was held to fewer than 100 yards for the only time this season.

Love is much closer to 100 percent now. He proved that in last week’s win over California by rushing for 101 yards. Despite missing one game, Love is second in the nation in rushing with 1,723 yards. He has 16 rushing touchdowns and averages 8.8 yards per carry.

Notre Dame has failed to cover the number in three straight games and is 8-11 ATS in 19 games as a road favorite under coach Brian Kelly.

Four more plays (home team in CAPS):

Washington State (+10½) over WASHINGTON: Mike Leach’s team has had two weeks to prepare, while the Huskies were struggling to rally past Utah 33-30 as a huge home favorite. The Huskies are missing several key players, including two starting wide receivers and tackle Trey Adams, a second-team All-American last season. Washington State has a 14-5 ATS record in its past 19 games as a road underdog. The Cougars are playing for a spot in the Pac-12 Championship, while the Huskies don’t have that urgent motivation.

SOUTH CAROLINA (+13½) over Clemson: South Carolina has been dynamite as an underdog, compiling a 6-0 ATS record with four outright wins. Will Muschamp’s team has won five of its past six games, with the loss at Georgia. Clemson has four starters listed as questionable, including defensive tackle Dexter Lawrence, a second-team all-conference pick last season, and linebacker Kendall Joseph, the Tigers’ second-leading tackler.

Florida State-FLORIDA (Under 44): I made this number 38½. Both offenses are horrible and fail to protect the quarterback. The Gators have given up 32 sacks and the Seminoles 30. The under is on a 4-1 run in Florida’s past five home games.

Indiana-PURDUE (Under 52½): The under has cashed in six straight Purdue games and is 9-2 overall. The Boilermakers are ranked 18th in the nation in total defense and are allowing only 18.9 points per game. The under is 4-1 in Indiana’s five road games.

Last week: 1-4 against the spread

Season: 35-27-1

Brian Edwards of VegasInsider.com and BrianEdwardsSports.com is providing college football analysis for the Las Vegas Review-Journal. Follow @vegasbedwards on Twitter.

ad-high_impact_4
Sports Betting Spotlight Videos
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Football Week 12
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart, and John Lukasik discuss their picks for College Football Week 12.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 11
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart, and John Lukasik discuss their picks for NFL Week 11.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 10
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart, and John Lukasik break down the NFL Week 10 slate.
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Week 11
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart, and John Lukasik break down college football week 11 match ups.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 9
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and John Lukasik pick their best bets for week 9 of the NFL football season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Week 10
Description: Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and John Lukasik pick their best bets for week 10 of the college football season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 8
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and John Lukasik pick their best bets for week 8 of the NFL football season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Football Week 9
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and John Lukasik pick their best bets for week 9 of the college football season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Football Week 8
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and John Lukasik pick their best bets for week 8 of the college football season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 7
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and John Lukasik pick their best bets for week 7 of the NFL football season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Football Week 7
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and John Lukasik pick their best bets for week 7 of the college football season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Week 6
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and John Lukasik pick their best bets for week 6 of the college football season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 5
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and John Lukasik pick their best bets for week 5 of the NFL football season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Week 5
Todd Dewey and John Lukasik go over their picks for week five of college football.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 4
Todd Dewey and John Lukasik go over their picks for week four of the NFL.
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Football Week 4
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and The Cromwell sports book director, John Lukasik go over their picks for week four of college football.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 3
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and The Cromwell sports book director, John Lukasik go over their picks for week three of the NFL.
Sports Betting Spotlight: Canelo vs. GGG
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and The Linq Hotel sports book director, John Lukasik go over the lines and their picks for Canelo vs. GGG 2.
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Football Week 3
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and The Linq Hotel sports book director, John Lukasik go over their picks for week three of college football.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 2
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and The Linq Hotel sports book director, John Lukasik go over their picks for week two of the NFL.
Sports Betting Spotlight: NFL Week 1
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and Matt Holt go over their picks for week one of the NFL.
Sports Betting Spotlight: College Week 2
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and USIntegrity president Matt Holt goes over their picks for week two of college football.
Sports Betting Spotlight: New York Giants
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and Sunset Station sports book director Chuck Esposito go over the lines for the 2018 New York Giants season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: New York Giants
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and Sunset Station sports book director Chuck Esposito go over the lines for the 2018 New York Giants season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: Buffalo Bills
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and Sunset Station sports book director Chuck Esposito go over the lines for the 2018 Buffalo Bills season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: New York Jets
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and Sunset Station sports book director Chuck Esposito go over the lines for the 2018 New York Jets season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: Miami Dolphins
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and Sunset Station sports book director Chuck Esposito go over the lines for the 2018 Miami Dolphins season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: Atlanta Falcons
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and Wynn Sports Book Director Johnny Avello go over how the Atlanta Falcons will perform in the 2018 season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: Carolina Panthers
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and Wynn Sports Book Director Johnny Avello go over how the Carolina Panthers will perform in the 2018 season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: New England Patriots
Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and Sunset Station sports book director Chuck Esposito go over the lines for the 2018 New England Patriots season.
Sports Betting Spotlight: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Description: Todd Dewey, Kelly Stewart and Wynn Sports Book Director Johnny Avello go over how the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will perform in the 2018 season.
TOP NEWS
News Headlines
ad-infeed_1
ads_infeed_2
Local Spotlight
Add Event
Home Front Page Footer Listing
Circular
You May Like

You May Like