College football betting trends — Edge for UNLV-Boise State MW title game
Bruce Marshall is a handicapper for CBS Sportsline. He provides the Las Vegas Review-Journal with college football notes and trends for this weekend’s conference championship games.
Friday
UNLV at Boise State (-5, 59), Mountain West: A rematch from the past two Decembers when the Broncos won and covered each Mountain West title game, 44-20 and 21-7. Boise State has now won and covered the past four meetings, including a 56-31 home blowout Oct. 18. The Broncos closed the season on a 1-3 against the spread skid after an injury to quarterback Maddux Madsen. Boise is on a 4-1 under run. The Rebels were 5-1 straight up and ATS away from home and are on a 3-1 under run. Edge: Slight to Boise State and under.
Kennesaw State (-2½, 60) at Jacksonville State, Conference USA: Rematch from Nov. 15, when Jacksonville State won and covered in a 35-26 victory. It also rolled last year in a 63-24 rout, as the past two meetings went over. Kennesaw State closed the season by going 9-1 straight up and 7-2 ATS while on a 5-1 over run. Jacksonville State is on an 8-3 over run and a 4-6 spread slide. Edge: Over and slight to Kennesaw State.
Troy at James Madison (-23, 47½), Sun Belt: Troy has won and covered seven of its past nine, is 4-1 ATS as an underdog and on a 4-0 under run. James Madison is on a 10-game winning streak and 5-1 over run, but is 4-4 ATS and 2-2 ATS at home. Edge: Slight to Troy and over.
North Texas (-2½, 67) at Tulane, American: Tulane beat North Texas 45-37 at home last season, though it’s on an 0-3-1 spread skid at home. It’s also on a 7-2 under run. North Texas has won and covered six straight and nine of 10, and is on a 6-1 over run. Edge: North Texas and slight to over.
Saturday
BYU vs. Texas Tech (-13, 49½), Big 12: Rematch from Nov. 8 when the Red Raiders rolled to a 29-7 win at home. Texas Tech has the best spread record in the country at 11-1 and is on a 7-3 under run. Edge: Texas Tech and slight to under.
Miami-Ohio vs Western Michigan (-2, 43½), MAC: Rematch of Oct. 25 when Miami of Ohio won and covered in a 26-17 triumph. This is Miami’s third MAC title game in a row (2-1 straight up, 2-1 ATS). Miami has won and covered seven of its past nine games and is on an 18-8 ATS run in MAC games. Western Michigan has won eight of its past nine, but is 2-2-1 ATS in its past five. Edge: Miami-Ohio.
Georgia (-2½, 48) vs. Alabama, SEC: Rematch of Alabama’s 24-21 win at Georgia on Sept. 27. The Crimson Tide have won and covered the past three meetings with the Bulldogs. Kirby Smart is 1-6 straight up and 2-5 ATS against Alabama since taking over as Georgia coach in 2016. The Bulldogs are on a 5-3 ATS uptick and 4-1 under run. Alabama is on a 7-2-2 spread run and an 8-1 under run. Edge: Under and slight to Alabama.
Indiana vs. Ohio State (-4, 48), Big Ten: Ohio State has won 16 straight games while going 14-2 ATS and is on a 7-3 under run. The Hoosiers are 4-4 ATS in their past eight games and on a 5-1 over run. Edge: Ohio State and slight to under.
Duke vs. Virginia (-3½, 58), ACC: Rematch from Nov. 15, when Virginia won and covered on the road in a 34-17 victory. The Cavaliers are on a 7-3 ATS run and 7-0 under streak. The Blue Devils are on a 4-1 ATS run away from home. Edge: Virginia and under.





