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NFL BAD BEATS BLOG: Raiders collapse, Rams rally late for upset

Welcome to “Thursday Night Football.”

The Raiders are consensus 6½-point road favorites against the Los Angeles Rams. The total is down to 41 at the Westgate SuperBook after being at 42 earlier in the day at most Las Vegas sportsbooks.

Refresh this blog throughout the game to track player props, movement on the live betting line, halftime bets and much more.

UPDATES

8:39 p.m.: That’s all for tonight. Thanks for reading, and be sure to check back Sunday for our NFL Bad Beat blog.

8:38 p.m.: Final prop grades for tonight’s game:

Team totals: Raiders under 24½ (-120), Rams under 17½ (-130).

Alternate point spreads: Raiders +3½ (-450); Rams +10½ (-200).

General props: First score will be a touchdown (yes -155); largest lead under 14½ points; longest TD under 36½ yards (23); will there be a made field goal in the first quarter (Yes even); will the game go to overtime (no -3,000); will there be a defensive or special teams TD (no -330); will there be a successful 2-point conversion (no -400); will both teams make 33-yard or longer field goals (yes even); will there be a lead change in the fourth quarter (yes +340); will either team score three straight times (/no +175); will there be a score in the final two minutes of the first half (no +250); will the game be tied again after 0-0 (no -140).

Raiders props: Derek Carr under 21½ completions (11), under 33½ attempts (20), under 253½ passing yards (137), longest completion under 37½ yards (35), under 1½ TD passes (0), will throw an interception (yes -120); Josh Jacobs over 93½ rushing yards (99), under 19½ receiving yards (15), will score a TD (yes -165); Davante Adams under 93½ receiving yards (71), under 7½ receptions (3), longest reception over 29½ (35), will score a TD (no +135); Mack Hollins under 45½ receiving yards (22), under 3½ receptions (2), will score a TD (no -320); Foster Moreau under 32½ receiving yards (0), will score a TD (no -320); Daniel Carlson over 7½ kicking points (10).

Rams props: Matt Gay under 5½ kicking points (5).

8:24 p.m.: Summary of the betting results:

— Rams 17, Raiders 16 (at Los Angeles)

Full-game winners: Rams +6, under 41½, Rams +220 ML

First-half winners: Raiders -3, under 20½ (Raiders 13-3)

Second-half winners: Rams -½, under 21 (Rams 14-3)

Yards per play: Raiders 5.2, Rams 4.6 (Raiders lead 302-282 in total yards)

Turnovers: Rams +1 (2-1)

Biggest lead: Raiders 13-0, 16-3; Rams 17-16

8:17 p.m.: FINAL: Rams 17, Raiders 16. The Raiders allowed the Rams to hang around and faltered in the fourth quarter as Baker Mayfield led the 6-point underdog to the upset. The game stayed under the total of 41½.

8:14 p.m.: It’s good, and the Rams lead the Raiders 17-16. What a collapse in the fourth quarter by the Silver and Black.

8:13 p.m.: Incredible. Baker Mayfield marches the Rams 93 yards and hits Van Jefferson for the tying score with 9 seconds remaining. Matt Gay is on for the extra point.

8:07 p.m.: A.J. Cole uncorks a 64-yard punt and the Rams take over at their own 5-yard line. The Raiders are -1800 on the live line (Rams +900).

8:05 p.m.: Josh Jacobs goes over 93½ rushing yards despite the hand injury. But the Raiders are facing a fourth-and-1 at the 2-minute warning.

7:59 p.m.: Cam Akers squeezes into the end zone for the Rams, and the Raiders’ lead is down to 16-10 with 3:19 left. That was a 17-play, 75-yard drive that chewed up more than 9 minutes. The Raiders are -1400 on the live line (Rams +800).

7:58 p.m.: Depending on your number, the backdoor cover is very much in play here.

7:42 p.m.: Bad penalty by the Raiders to extend the Rams drive.

7:36 p.m.: Daniel Carlson hits his third FG of the game and the Raiders lead the Rams 16-3 with 12:20 left in the fourth quarter. Carlson 7½ kicking points (over -120) is in.

7:35 p.m.: Where would the Raiders be without Josh Jacobs this season? Certainly not 5-7.

7:28 p.m.: END OF THE THIRD QUARTER. Raiders 13, Rams 3. The Raiders are -3000 on the live line (Rams +1200), total 28½.

7:25 p.m.: Josh Jacobs has returned for the Raiders.

7:23 p.m.: Tough one if you have Matt Gay over 5½ kicking points. The unsportsmanlike conduct penalty pushed back the Rams and he pulls the 61-yard field goal wide left. The Raiders lead the Rams 13-3 with 2:42 left in the third quarter. The Raiders are -1800 on the live line (Rams +900), total 29½.

7:12 p.m.: Josh Jacobs is questionable to return.

7:08 p.m.: Josh Jacobs headed to the Raiders locker room, according to the broadcast. He injured his right hand on the previous drive. He is unofficially at 73 yards rushing with 1 TD and one catch for 8 yards. The Raiders lead 13-3 and are -1300 on the live line (Rams +750), total 31½.

7:00 p.m.: The Raiders and Rams trade punts to open the third quarter. The Raiders lead 13-3 and are -800 on the live line (Rams +525), total 32½.

6:58 p.m.: Josh Jacobs crashes to the turf and appears to be favoring his right arm.

6:38 p.m.: Second-half line: Rams -½, total 21.

6:37 p.m.: That late Derek Carr helped ensure there no score in the final two minutes of the first half prop cashed (+250).

6:36 p.m.: Unofficial Raiders stats at halftime:

— Derek Carr 9-for-13, 126 yards, 1 interception

— Josh Jacobs 18 carries, 58 yards rushing, 1 TD; 1 reception, 8 yards

— Mack Hollins 3 carries, 40 yards rushing

— Davante Adams 3 receptions, 71 yards (long 35)

— Hollins 2 receptions, 22 yards (long 15)

— Foster Moreau 0 receptions

6:32 p.m.: HALFTIME: Raiders 13, Rams 3. First-half winners: Raiders -3, under 20½. Josh Jacobs has the game’s lone TD, and Daniel Carlson booted two field goals to help the Raiders cover. The Rams offense has struggled with Baker Mayfield getting the majority of snaps at quarterback.

6:28 p.m.: Derek Carr gets bumped off his spot as he’s letting go of the ball, and it floats into the end zone for a drive-killing interception. Carr was -120 to throw a pick. The Raiders lead 13-3 late in the second quarter. The Raiders are -700 on the live line (Rams +475), total 37½.

6:13 p.m.: Cam Akers puts the ball on the turf and the Raiders defense comes up with it. Still 13-3 Raiders with 4:45 left until halftime. The Raiders are -800 on the live line (Rams +525), total 40½.

6:03 p.m.: The drive fizzles in the red zone, but Daniel Carlson hits his second FG of the game and the Raiders lead the Rams 13-3 with 9:40 to go in the second quarter. The Raiders are -700 on the live line (Rams +475), total 44½.

6:01 p.m.: The Raiders are finding a lot of success with the jet sweep.

5:53 p.m.: END OF THE FIRST QUARTER: Raiders 10, Rams 3. First-quarter winners: Raiders -½, over 7½.

5:51 p.m.: Matt Gay hits a 55-yard field goal and the Rams are on the board. They trail the Raiders 10-3 late in the first quarter. The Raiders are -500 on the live line (Rams +375), total 45½. Both teams to make a 33-yard or longer field goal cashes at even money.

5:47 p.m.: Baker Mayfield into the game at quarterback for the Rams. The Raiders are -600 on the live line (Rams +420), total 44½.

5:45 p.m.: Also cashing: Will there be a made field goal in the first quarter? (Yes, even)

5:44 p.m.: Daniel Carlson connects from 52 yards and the Raiders take a 10-0 lead over the Rams with 2:22 left in the first quarter. That cashes the first-quarter over.

5:43 p.m.: Mark Davis and Ice Cube. Smooth.

5:39 p.m.: Rams No. 97 is going to hate watching film of this game.

5:31 p.m.: John Wolford does start at QB for the Rams.

5:30 p.m.: Also cashing: Jacobs to score a TD (-165) and the first score will be a TD (-155).

5:29 p.m.: Josh Jacobs was +350 at Station Casinos, and +425 at Circa Sports and Westgate SuperBook to score the first TD.

5:26 p.m.: Josh Jacobs plows into the end zone from 1 yard out, and the Raiders lead the Rams 7-0 with 9:13 left in the first quarter. That was a 12-play drive. The Raiders are -500 on the live line (Rams +375), total 44½.

5:18 p.m.: Davante Adams gets the best of Jalen Ramsey early for a 32-yard grab, and the Raiders are in business on their first drive. That cashes the over prop on Adams’ longest reception (29½ yards).

5:05 p.m.: Major wagers at Caesars Sportsbook:

5:03 p.m.: All signs point to John Wolford starting at QB for the Rams, according to the broadcast.

5:01 p.m.: Seeing a lot of different numbers out there now. Westgate is Raiders -6, total 41½. Circa at -5½, total 42. Station still at -6½, 41½.

5 p.m.: Here is the outlook for tonight’s game:

— Raiders (-6½, 41, -300) at Rams (+250), 5:15 p.m.

Here are some of the props we’ll be tracking for tonight’s Raiders-Rams game:

Team totals: Raiders 24½ (under -120), Rams 17½ (under -130).

Alternate point spreads: Raiders -10½ (+175), +3½ (-450); Rams +10½ (-200), -3½ (+375).

General props: First score will be a touchdown (yes -155/no +135); largest lead 14½ points; longest TD 36½ yards; will there be a made field goal in the first quarter (yes even/no -120) will the game go to overtime (yes +1,200/no -3,000); will there be a defensive or special teams TD (yes +270/no -330); will there be a successful 2-point conversion (yes +330/no -400); will both teams make 33-yard or longer field goals (yes even/no -120); will there be a lead change in the fourth quarter (yes +340/no -410); will either team score three straight times (yes -200/no +175); will there be a score in the final two minutes of the first half (yes -300/no +250); will the game be tied again after 0-0 (yes +120/no -140).

Raiders props: Derek Carr 21½ completions, 33½ attempts, 253½ passing yards, longest completion 37½ yards, 1½ TD passes (over -140), will throw an interception (yes -120/no even); Josh Jacobs 93½ rushing yards, 19½ receiving yards, will score a TD (yes -165/no +145); Davante Adams 93½ receiving yards, 7½ receptions (under -140), longest reception 29½, will score a TD (yes -155/no +135); Mack Hollins 45½ receiving yards, 3½ receptions (over -125), will score a TD (yes +265/no -320); Foster Moreau 32½ receiving yards, will score a TD (yes +265/no -320); Daniel Carlson 7½ kicking points (over -120).

Rams props: Matt Gay 5½ kicking points (over -145).

Contact David Schoen at dschoen@reviewjournal.com or 702-387-5203. Follow @DavidSchoenLVRJ on Twitter.

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